Traders have converged on 16°C as the lowest temperature in Paris on June 2, driven by the latest forecast runs from European meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical June averages place minimums around 13°C, yet current atmospheric patterns, including warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, support this elevated reading according to official guidance. Resolution hinges on verified observations from Paris stations, with minimal model spread reducing uncertainty. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement discrepancies at official sites could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Paris on June 2?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$24,338 Vol.
$24,338 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$24,338 Vol.
$24,338 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: May 31, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on 16°C as the lowest temperature in Paris on June 2, driven by the latest forecast runs from European meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical June averages place minimums around 13°C, yet current atmospheric patterns, including warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, support this elevated reading according to official guidance. Resolution hinges on verified observations from Paris stations, with minimal model spread reducing uncertainty. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement discrepancies at official sites could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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