Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「マイケル」第3週末興行収入
「マイケル」第3週末興行収入
3,500万～3,800万 34.6%
3,200万～3,500万ドル 28%
3,200万未満 23%
3,800万超 8.3%
新規
$26,921 Vol.
新規
$26,921 Vol.
2026/05/11
3,200万未満
23%
3,200万～3,500万ドル
28%
3,500万～3,800万
39%
3,800万超
8%
3,500万～3,800万 34.6%
3,200万～3,500万ドル 28%
3,200万未満 23%
3,800万超 8.3%
新規
$26,921 Vol.
新規
$26,921 Vol.
2026/05/11
3,200万未満
$19,396 Vol.
23%
3,200万～3,500万ドル
$3,333 Vol.
28%
3,500万～3,800万
$1,932 Vol.
39%
3,800万超
$2,551 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$26,921終了日
2026/05/11マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$26,921終了日
2026/05/11マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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