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スポーツ·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
スポーツ·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 52%

Yordan Alvarez 24.5%

Ben Rice 5.8%

Rafael Devers 4.6%

Polymarket

$30,647 Vol.

Kyle Schwarber 52%

Yordan Alvarez 24.5%

Ben Rice 5.8%

Rafael Devers 4.6%

Polymarket

$30,647 Vol.

Kyle Schwarber

$6,000 Vol.

52%

Yordan Alvarez

$3,205 Vol.

25%

Ben Rice

$796 Vol.

6%

Rafael Devers

$270 Vol.

5%

James Wood

$1,114 Vol.

3%

Munetaka Murakami

$7,361 Vol.

2%

Matt Olson

$1,379 Vol.

2%

Shea Langeliers

$958 Vol.

2%

Aaron Judge

$4,171 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$743 Vol.

1%

Shohei Ohtani

$523 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$275 Vol.

1%

Elly De La Cruz

$525 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$285 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Lowe

$265 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$259 Vol.

<1%

CJ Abrams

$288 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$318 Vol.

<1%

Sal Stewart

$283 Vol.

<1%

Eugenio Suarez

$252 Vol.

<1%

Pete Alonso

$368 Vol.

<1%

Manny Machado

$287 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Walker

$239 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$243 Vol.

<1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$239 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 23 through early June, ahead of Yordan Alvarez’s 22, reflecting a narrow but consistent edge that traders have priced at 51.5% implied probability. Alvarez maintains strong pace and on-base skills in the second position at 24.5%, while a group including Ben Rice, Rafael Devers, James Wood, and Matt Olson trails further back amid the typical mid-season volatility of power production. Recent surges by Schwarber, including multiple long balls in May that extended his lead, combined with Alvarez’s efficient contact rates, have shaped the current trader consensus reflected in these probabilities. Remaining schedule strength, injury risk, and late-season regression remain key variables for the full-season outcome.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$30,647
終了日
2026/09/28
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 23 through early June, ahead of Yordan Alvarez’s 22, reflecting a narrow but consistent edge that traders have priced at 51.5% implied probability. Alvarez maintains strong pace and on-base skills in the second position at 24.5%, while a group including Ben Rice, Rafael Devers, James Wood, and Matt Olson trails further back amid the typical mid-season volatility of power production. Recent surges by Schwarber, including multiple long balls in May that extended his lead, combined with Alvarez’s efficient contact rates, have shaped the current trader consensus reflected in these probabilities. Remaining schedule strength, injury risk, and late-season regression remain key variables for the full-season outcome.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$30,647
終了日
2026/09/28
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」はPolymarket上の25個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Kyle Schwarber」で52%、次いで「Yordan Alvarez」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、52¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に52%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MLB: Home Runs Leader」は$30.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」で取引するには、このページに記載されている25個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」の現在のフロントランナーは「Kyle Schwarber」で52%であり、市場がこの結果に52%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Yordan Alvarez」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。