Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026, shortly after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also targeted regime leadership compounds. Since his appointment, Mojtaba has maintained an extremely low profile, remaining in undisclosed locations inside Iran amid ongoing conflict and explicit threats identifying him as a high-value target. U.S. intelligence reports describe restricted external access managed exclusively through secure courier networks, while Iranian officials have confirmed his survival and continued authority without public appearances or verified imagery. Trader focus on departure timelines centers on potential security-driven relocation, health-related treatment needs, or shifts tied to diplomatic negotiations and any de-escalation in hostilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,877,893 Vol.
2026/06/30
6月30日
2%
$1,877,893 Vol.
6月30日
$467,662 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026, shortly after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also targeted regime leadership compounds. Since his appointment, Mojtaba has maintained an extremely low profile, remaining in undisclosed locations inside Iran amid ongoing conflict and explicit threats identifying him as a high-value target. U.S. intelligence reports describe restricted external access managed exclusively through secure courier networks, while Iranian officials have confirmed his survival and continued authority without public appearances or verified imagery. Trader focus on departure timelines centers on potential security-driven relocation, health-related treatment needs, or shifts tied to diplomatic negotiations and any de-escalation in hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
音量
$1,877,893終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026, shortly after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also targeted regime leadership compounds. Since his appointment, Mojtaba has maintained an extremely low profile, remaining in undisclosed locations inside Iran amid ongoing conflict and explicit threats identifying him as a high-value target. U.S. intelligence reports describe restricted external access managed exclusively through secure courier networks, while Iranian officials have confirmed his survival and continued authority without public appearances or verified imagery. Trader focus on departure timelines centers on potential security-driven relocation, health-related treatment needs, or shifts tied to diplomatic negotiations and any de-escalation in hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,877,893終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026, shortly after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also targeted regime leadership compounds. Since his appointment, Mojtaba has maintained an extremely low profile, remaining in undisclosed locations inside Iran amid ongoing conflict and explicit threats identifying him as a high-value target. U.S. intelligence reports describe restricted external access managed exclusively through secure courier networks, while Iranian officials have confirmed his survival and continued authority without public appearances or verified imagery. Trader focus on departure timelines centers on potential security-driven relocation, health-related treatment needs, or shifts tied to diplomatic negotiations and any de-escalation in hostilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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