Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. As the new head of state during active conflict, he has issued written statements through state media but made no public appearances, fueling reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and possible treatment inside Iran, such as in Qom. Iranian officials have denied claims of medical transfer abroad, including to Russia. With the regime facing military pressure and internal security priorities, no verified developments indicate plans for departure, keeping trader-implied probabilities of an exit by late June 2026 extremely low amid the wartime leadership role and health-related seclusion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,825,359 Vol.
2026/06/30
6月30日
2%
$1,825,359 Vol.
6月30日
$415,364 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. As the new head of state during active conflict, he has issued written statements through state media but made no public appearances, fueling reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and possible treatment inside Iran, such as in Qom. Iranian officials have denied claims of medical transfer abroad, including to Russia. With the regime facing military pressure and internal security priorities, no verified developments indicate plans for departure, keeping trader-implied probabilities of an exit by late June 2026 extremely low amid the wartime leadership role and health-related seclusion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
音量
$1,825,359終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. As the new head of state during active conflict, he has issued written statements through state media but made no public appearances, fueling reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and possible treatment inside Iran, such as in Qom. Iranian officials have denied claims of medical transfer abroad, including to Russia. With the regime facing military pressure and internal security priorities, no verified developments indicate plans for departure, keeping trader-implied probabilities of an exit by late June 2026 extremely low amid the wartime leadership role and health-related seclusion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,825,359終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. As the new head of state during active conflict, he has issued written statements through state media but made no public appearances, fueling reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and possible treatment inside Iran, such as in Qom. Iranian officials have denied claims of medical transfer abroad, including to Russia. With the regime facing military pressure and internal security priorities, no verified developments indicate plans for departure, keeping trader-implied probabilities of an exit by late June 2026 extremely low amid the wartime leadership role and health-related seclusion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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