Microsoft shares trade near $390 as of mid-June 2026 following an approximately 19% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs above $550, reflecting valuation compression and concerns over AI investment returns despite robust fundamentals. Fiscal Q3 results showed revenue of $82.89 billion (up 18% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $4.27, driven by 29% Microsoft Cloud growth and 40% Azure expansion, with AI contributing a $37 billion annual run rate. Elevated capital expenditures and moderating growth rates in some segments have weighed on sentiment, while the next earnings release on July 28 and broader equity volatility remain key near-term influences on the probability of closing above a given strike by month-end. Trader positioning aggregates real-money views on these earnings momentum and macro factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/06/30
$330
51%
$345
52%
$360
83%
$375
73%
$390
54%
$405
30%
$420
17%
$435
51%
$450
50%
$465
49%
$480
47%
$495
9%
$510
9%
$462 Vol.
$330
$0 Vol.
51%
$345
$0 Vol.
52%
$360
$0 Vol.
83%
$375
$32 Vol.
73%
$390
$0 Vol.
54%
$405
$0 Vol.
30%
$420
$0 Vol.
17%
$435
$0 Vol.
51%
$450
$0 Vol.
50%
$465
$3 Vol.
49%
$480
$428 Vol.
47%
$495
$0 Vol.
9%
$510
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft shares trade near $390 as of mid-June 2026 following an approximately 19% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs above $550, reflecting valuation compression and concerns over AI investment returns despite robust fundamentals. Fiscal Q3 results showed revenue of $82.89 billion (up 18% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $4.27, driven by 29% Microsoft Cloud growth and 40% Azure expansion, with AI contributing a $37 billion annual run rate. Elevated capital expenditures and moderating growth rates in some segments have weighed on sentiment, while the next earnings release on July 28 and broader equity volatility remain key near-term influences on the probability of closing above a given strike by month-end. Trader positioning aggregates real-money views on these earnings momentum and macro factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日： May 29, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
音量
$462終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft shares trade near $390 as of mid-June 2026 following an approximately 19% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs above $550, reflecting valuation compression and concerns over AI investment returns despite robust fundamentals. Fiscal Q3 results showed revenue of $82.89 billion (up 18% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $4.27, driven by 29% Microsoft Cloud growth and 40% Azure expansion, with AI contributing a $37 billion annual run rate. Elevated capital expenditures and moderating growth rates in some segments have weighed on sentiment, while the next earnings release on July 28 and broader equity volatility remain key near-term influences on the probability of closing above a given strike by month-end. Trader positioning aggregates real-money views on these earnings momentum and macro factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
音量
$462終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 6:00 PM ETMicrosoft shares trade near $390 as of mid-June 2026 following an approximately 19% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs above $550, reflecting valuation compression and concerns over AI investment returns despite robust fundamentals. Fiscal Q3 results showed revenue of $82.89 billion (up 18% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $4.27, driven by 29% Microsoft Cloud growth and 40% Azure expansion, with AI contributing a $37 billion annual run rate. Elevated capital expenditures and moderating growth rates in some segments have weighed on sentiment, while the next earnings release on July 28 and broader equity volatility remain key near-term influences on the probability of closing above a given strike by month-end. Trader positioning aggregates real-money views on these earnings momentum and macro factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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