Microsoft's strong fiscal Q4 2026 earnings beat on July 29, with Azure and cloud revenue exceeding estimates alongside upbeat guidance, triggered a 15%+ rally that lifted the share price from roughly $390 to $451 on July 30 before closing at $464.72 on July 31 amid heavy volume. This momentum, fueled by AI-related optimism and capital-expenditure discipline, has narrowed the gap to recent highs and supports elevated closing levels into the August 3 session. With no major macroeconomic releases or company events scheduled before then, trader focus remains on sustaining post-earnings sentiment and broader tech-sector risk appetite in the absence of offsetting catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$430
91%
$440
85%
$450
74%
$460
61%
470ドル
29%
$38 Vol.
$430
91%
$440
85%
$450
74%
$460
61%
470ドル
29%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 8:43 AM ET
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Microsoft's strong fiscal Q4 2026 earnings beat on July 29, with Azure and cloud revenue exceeding estimates alongside upbeat guidance, triggered a 15%+ rally that lifted the share price from roughly $390 to $451 on July 30 before closing at $464.72 on July 31 amid heavy volume. This momentum, fueled by AI-related optimism and capital-expenditure discipline, has narrowed the gap to recent highs and supports elevated closing levels into the August 3 session. With no major macroeconomic releases or company events scheduled before then, trader focus remains on sustaining post-earnings sentiment and broader tech-sector risk appetite in the absence of offsetting catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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