Traders on Polymarket have priced a 95.7% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of May 4 in the $80-$90 range, driven by the stock's intraday trading at $87.82 on resolution Friday, May 8, with recent session closes at $88.25 (May 7) and $88.27 (May 6) firmly within bounds amid subdued volatility. This strong consensus reflects stabilization following Q1 2026 earnings on April 16—revenue up 16% year-over-year but soft Q2 guidance prompting a post-earnings pullback from April highs near $97 to the current $88 level, alongside 2026 revenue growth outlook of 12%-14%. Realistic challenges include late-session macroeconomic catalysts or sector news sparking a breakout above $90 or below $80, though trading volume remains moderate at 14 million shares today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$80-$90 100.0%
<$50 <1%
$50-$60 <1%
$60-$70 <1%
$5,075 Vol.
$5,075 Vol.
2026/05/08
<$50
No
$50-$60
No
$60-$70
No
$70-$80
No
$80-$90
Yes
$90-$100
No
$100-$110
No
$110-$120
No
$120-$130
No
$130-$140
No
>$140
No
$80-$90 100.0%
<$50 <1%
$50-$60 <1%
$60-$70 <1%
$5,075 Vol.
$5,075 Vol.
2026/05/08
<$50
$628 Vol.
No
$50-$60
$630 Vol.
No
$60-$70
$306 Vol.
No
$70-$80
$289 Vol.
No
$80-$90
$369 Vol.
Yes
$90-$100
$376 Vol.
No
$100-$110
$307 Vol.
No
$110-$120
$315 Vol.
No
$120-$130
$612 Vol.
No
$130-$140
$630 Vol.
No
>$140
$613 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Traders on Polymarket have priced a 95.7% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of May 4 in the $80-$90 range, driven by the stock's intraday trading at $87.82 on resolution Friday, May 8, with recent session closes at $88.25 (May 7) and $88.27 (May 6) firmly within bounds amid subdued volatility. This strong consensus reflects stabilization following Q1 2026 earnings on April 16—revenue up 16% year-over-year but soft Q2 guidance prompting a post-earnings pullback from April highs near $97 to the current $88 level, alongside 2026 revenue growth outlook of 12%-14%. Realistic challenges include late-session macroeconomic catalysts or sector news sparking a breakout above $90 or below $80, though trading volume remains moderate at 14 million shares today.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
音量
$5,075終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:17 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Traders on Polymarket have priced a 95.7% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of May 4 in the $80-$90 range, driven by the stock's intraday trading at $87.82 on resolution Friday, May 8, with recent session closes at $88.25 (May 7) and $88.27 (May 6) firmly within bounds amid subdued volatility. This strong consensus reflects stabilization following Q1 2026 earnings on April 16—revenue up 16% year-over-year but soft Q2 guidance prompting a post-earnings pullback from April highs near $97 to the current $88 level, alongside 2026 revenue growth outlook of 12%-14%. Realistic challenges include late-session macroeconomic catalysts or sector news sparking a breakout above $90 or below $80, though trading volume remains moderate at 14 million shares today.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$5,075終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:17 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders on Polymarket have priced a 95.7% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of May 4 in the $80-$90 range, driven by the stock's intraday trading at $87.82 on resolution Friday, May 8, with recent session closes at $88.25 (May 7) and $88.27 (May 6) firmly within bounds amid subdued volatility. This strong consensus reflects stabilization following Q1 2026 earnings on April 16—revenue up 16% year-over-year but soft Q2 guidance prompting a post-earnings pullback from April highs near $97 to the current $88 level, alongside 2026 revenue growth outlook of 12%-14%. Realistic challenges include late-session macroeconomic catalysts or sector news sparking a breakout above $90 or below $80, though trading volume remains moderate at 14 million shares today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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