North Korea's accelerated missile testing pace, with multiple ballistic missile launches detected on April 7 near Pyongyang and a second barrage off its east coast on April 8 amid ongoing South Korea-US Freedom Shield drills, underscores trader consensus at 99.7% for a test or launch by April 30. This follows a March flurry including cruise missile firings from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on March 11, rocket barrages overseen by Kim Jong Un on March 14-16, and a solid-fuel engine test on March 29—marking over a dozen events this year already. The regime's pattern of near-monthly provocations signals no pause, though unlikely disruptions like diplomatic de-escalation, leadership health issues, or technical setbacks could theoretically prevent activity in the remaining three weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
新規
$15,040 Vol.
新規
$15,040 Vol.
2026/04/30
はい
新規
$15,040 Vol.
新規
$15,040 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's accelerated missile testing pace, with multiple ballistic missile launches detected on April 7 near Pyongyang and a second barrage off its east coast on April 8 amid ongoing South Korea-US Freedom Shield drills, underscores trader consensus at 99.7% for a test or launch by April 30. This follows a March flurry including cruise missile firings from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on March 11, rocket barrages overseen by Kim Jong Un on March 14-16, and a solid-fuel engine test on March 29—marking over a dozen events this year already. The regime's pattern of near-monthly provocations signals no pause, though unlikely disruptions like diplomatic de-escalation, leadership health issues, or technical setbacks could theoretically prevent activity in the remaining three weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$15,040終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's accelerated missile testing pace, with multiple ballistic missile launches detected on April 7 near Pyongyang and a second barrage off its east coast on April 8 amid ongoing South Korea-US Freedom Shield drills, underscores trader consensus at 99.7% for a test or launch by April 30. This follows a March flurry including cruise missile firings from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on March 11, rocket barrages overseen by Kim Jong Un on March 14-16, and a solid-fuel engine test on March 29—marking over a dozen events this year already. The regime's pattern of near-monthly provocations signals no pause, though unlikely disruptions like diplomatic de-escalation, leadership health issues, or technical setbacks could theoretically prevent activity in the remaining three weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
音量
$15,040終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...North Korea's accelerated missile testing pace, with multiple ballistic missile launches detected on April 7 near Pyongyang and a second barrage off its east coast on April 8 amid ongoing South Korea-US Freedom Shield drills, underscores trader consensus at 99.7% for a test or launch by April 30. This follows a March flurry including cruise missile firings from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on March 11, rocket barrages overseen by Kim Jong Un on March 14-16, and a solid-fuel engine test on March 29—marking over a dozen events this year already. The regime's pattern of near-monthly provocations signals no pause, though unlikely disruptions like diplomatic de-escalation, leadership health issues, or technical setbacks could theoretically prevent activity in the remaining three weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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