The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$9,440 Vol.
$9,440 Vol.
2026/04/30
はい
$9,440 Vol.
$9,440 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
マーケット開始日： Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
音量
$9,440終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
音量
$9,440終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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