Trader consensus centers on 17.5-19 million TSA checkpoint screenings for March 23-29, reflecting spring break travel peaks that drove prior weeks to 17-18 million totals, with daily averages hovering near 2.5 million amid strong leisure demand. The razor-thin split between 17.5-18 million (43%) and 18-18.5 million (43.5%) stems from variable Friday-Saturday surges—March 22 hit 2.75 million—and uncertainty over Easter weekend extensions boosting Sunday volumes. Mild weather and steady airline schedules support higher bins, but any cancellations or economic softening could drag below 17.5 million; daily TSA releases through March 29 will likely sharpen separation as actual throughput data emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日18-18.5m 44%
17.5-18m 36%
18.5-19m 22%
<17.5m 18%
$17,893 Vol.
$17,893 Vol.
<17.5m
18%
17.5-18m
36%
18-18.5m
44%
18.5-19m
22%
19-19.5m
17%
>19.5m
18%
18-18.5m 44%
17.5-18m 36%
18.5-19m 22%
<17.5m 18%
$17,893 Vol.
$17,893 Vol.
<17.5m
18%
17.5-18m
36%
18-18.5m
44%
18.5-19m
22%
19-19.5m
17%
>19.5m
18%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 17.5-19 million TSA checkpoint screenings for March 23-29, reflecting spring break travel peaks that drove prior weeks to 17-18 million totals, with daily averages hovering near 2.5 million amid strong leisure demand. The razor-thin split between 17.5-18 million (43%) and 18-18.5 million (43.5%) stems from variable Friday-Saturday surges—March 22 hit 2.75 million—and uncertainty over Easter weekend extensions boosting Sunday volumes. Mild weather and steady airline schedules support higher bins, but any cancellations or economic softening could drag below 17.5 million; daily TSA releases through March 29 will likely sharpen separation as actual throughput data emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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