Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 76–78 million views for the next MrBeast video by day 5, with 76–77M leading at 41% implied probability and 77–78M close behind at 29%, reflecting the YouTube star's consistent high-engagement premiere performance amid his 320 million subscribers. Recent videos like "Lose 100 Lbs, Win $250,000!" (uploaded Oct. 12) hit around 75M views by day 5 before climbing higher, aligning with historical patterns where challenge-style content garners 70–80M early views driven by optimized thumbnails, hype titles, and algorithmic push. Steady subscriber growth and no major competition shifts keep expectations stable, though an unusually viral hook or competing creator drops could swing outcomes; watch for the next upload announcement, typically teased on X for maximum buzz.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?
76–77M 42%
77–78M 34%
78–79M 13%
75–76M 9%
$25,366 Vol.
$25,366 Vol.
<75M
1%
75–76M
9%
76–77M
42%
77–78M
31%
78–79M
13%
79–80M
8%
80M+
5%
76–77M 42%
77–78M 34%
78–79M 13%
75–76M 9%
$25,366 Vol.
$25,366 Vol.
<75M
1%
75–76M
9%
76–77M
42%
77–78M
31%
78–79M
13%
79–80M
8%
80M+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 76–78 million views for the next MrBeast video by day 5, with 76–77M leading at 41% implied probability and 77–78M close behind at 29%, reflecting the YouTube star's consistent high-engagement premiere performance amid his 320 million subscribers. Recent videos like "Lose 100 Lbs, Win $250,000!" (uploaded Oct. 12) hit around 75M views by day 5 before climbing higher, aligning with historical patterns where challenge-style content garners 70–80M early views driven by optimized thumbnails, hype titles, and algorithmic push. Steady subscriber growth and no major competition shifts keep expectations stable, though an unusually viral hook or competing creator drops could swing outcomes; watch for the next upload announcement, typically teased on X for maximum buzz.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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