Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video garnering 81-82 million views in its first week (48% implied probability), reflecting his consistent YouTube dominance with recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" hitting 92 million week-one views and "I Built 100 Wells In Africa" at 85 million, averaging around 80-85 million amid his 380 million subscribers and optimized thumbnails driving viral algorithm boosts. The 80-81M (29%) and 82-83M (15%) outcomes trail closely, signaling tight expectations tempered by potential competition from holiday-season content and YouTube's evolving recommendation dynamics. No specific next-video title or release date has been officially announced in the past week, but his weekly cadence keeps momentum steady—watch for teasers on X that could spike presale hype before the inevitable premiere.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1週目の次のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は? (スモールストライク)
1週目の次のMrBeastビデオの再生回数は? (スモールストライク)
8,100万〜8,200万 53%
8,000万〜8,100万 24%
8200万〜8300万 17%
7900万~8000万 5.1%
$19,497 Vol.
$19,497 Vol.
7900万未満
1%
7900万~8000万
5%
8,000万〜8,100万
28%
8,100万〜8,200万
46%
8200万〜8300万
17%
8,300万〜8,400万
5%
8,400万以上
2%
8,100万〜8,200万 53%
8,000万〜8,100万 24%
8200万〜8300万 17%
7900万~8000万 5.1%
$19,497 Vol.
$19,497 Vol.
7900万未満
1%
7900万~8000万
5%
8,000万〜8,100万
28%
8,100万〜8,200万
46%
8200万〜8300万
17%
8,300万〜8,400万
5%
8,400万以上
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video garnering 81-82 million views in its first week (48% implied probability), reflecting his consistent YouTube dominance with recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" hitting 92 million week-one views and "I Built 100 Wells In Africa" at 85 million, averaging around 80-85 million amid his 380 million subscribers and optimized thumbnails driving viral algorithm boosts. The 80-81M (29%) and 82-83M (15%) outcomes trail closely, signaling tight expectations tempered by potential competition from holiday-season content and YouTube's evolving recommendation dynamics. No specific next-video title or release date has been officially announced in the past week, but his weekly cadence keeps momentum steady—watch for teasers on X that could spike presale hype before the inevitable premiere.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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