Despite logistical disruptions during Peru's April 12-13 general election first round—including delayed ballot deliveries, unopened polling stations affecting thousands of voters, and ongoing tally frustrations—electoral authorities JNE and ONPE continue counting votes toward a June 7 runoff between frontrunners Roberto Sánchez and Keiko Fujimori. Conservative candidate Rafael López Aliaga's fraud allegations and rally demands for annulment, mirrored in seven legal nullity petitions, remain unsubstantiated and face steep procedural hurdles under electoral law. With no official invalidation signals and historical precedents favoring continuity amid disputes, traders price a 90.5% "No" probability, anticipating resolution absent major judicial intervention by June 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/06/30
新規
新規
2026/06/30
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Despite logistical disruptions during Peru's April 12-13 general election first round—including delayed ballot deliveries, unopened polling stations affecting thousands of voters, and ongoing tally frustrations—electoral authorities JNE and ONPE continue counting votes toward a June 7 runoff between frontrunners Roberto Sánchez and Keiko Fujimori. Conservative candidate Rafael López Aliaga's fraud allegations and rally demands for annulment, mirrored in seven legal nullity petitions, remain unsubstantiated and face steep procedural hurdles under electoral law. With no official invalidation signals and historical precedents favoring continuity amid disputes, traders price a 90.5% "No" probability, anticipating resolution absent major judicial intervention by June 30.
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
音量
$593終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Despite logistical disruptions during Peru's April 12-13 general election first round—including delayed ballot deliveries, unopened polling stations affecting thousands of voters, and ongoing tally frustrations—electoral authorities JNE and ONPE continue counting votes toward a June 7 runoff between frontrunners Roberto Sánchez and Keiko Fujimori. Conservative candidate Rafael López Aliaga's fraud allegations and rally demands for annulment, mirrored in seven legal nullity petitions, remain unsubstantiated and face steep procedural hurdles under electoral law. With no official invalidation signals and historical precedents favoring continuity amid disputes, traders price a 90.5% "No" probability, anticipating resolution absent major judicial intervention by June 30.
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$593終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite logistical disruptions during Peru's April 12-13 general election first round—including delayed ballot deliveries, unopened polling stations affecting thousands of voters, and ongoing tally frustrations—electoral authorities JNE and ONPE continue counting votes toward a June 7 runoff between frontrunners Roberto Sánchez and Keiko Fujimori. Conservative candidate Rafael López Aliaga's fraud allegations and rally demands for annulment, mirrored in seven legal nullity petitions, remain unsubstantiated and face steep procedural hurdles under electoral law. With no official invalidation signals and historical precedents favoring continuity amid disputes, traders price a 90.5% "No" probability, anticipating resolution absent major judicial intervention by June 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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