The National Jury of Elections (JNE) rejected annulment petitions from candidates including Rafael López Aliaga in late April, confirming the April 12 first-round results and enabling the June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez. This procedural closure, combined with the absence of successful nullity actions through authorized channels and the completion of the runoff tally, underpins traders' 99% implied probability that the original election will stand by the June 30 deadline. Institutional continuity and exhausted legal avenues anchor this consensus. Late rulings by the Constitutional Tribunal or unforeseen procedural reversals before expiration remain the primary, though narrow, paths that could still shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$173,138 Vol.
$173,138 Vol.
2026/06/30
$173,138 Vol.
$173,138 Vol.
2026/06/30
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The National Jury of Elections (JNE) rejected annulment petitions from candidates including Rafael López Aliaga in late April, confirming the April 12 first-round results and enabling the June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez. This procedural closure, combined with the absence of successful nullity actions through authorized channels and the completion of the runoff tally, underpins traders' 99% implied probability that the original election will stand by the June 30 deadline. Institutional continuity and exhausted legal avenues anchor this consensus. Late rulings by the Constitutional Tribunal or unforeseen procedural reversals before expiration remain the primary, though narrow, paths that could still shift the outcome.
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
音量
$173,138終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The National Jury of Elections (JNE) rejected annulment petitions from candidates including Rafael López Aliaga in late April, confirming the April 12 first-round results and enabling the June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez. This procedural closure, combined with the absence of successful nullity actions through authorized channels and the completion of the runoff tally, underpins traders' 99% implied probability that the original election will stand by the June 30 deadline. Institutional continuity and exhausted legal avenues anchor this consensus. Late rulings by the Constitutional Tribunal or unforeseen procedural reversals before expiration remain the primary, though narrow, paths that could still shift the outcome.
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$173,138終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Jury of Elections (JNE) rejected annulment petitions from candidates including Rafael López Aliaga in late April, confirming the April 12 first-round results and enabling the June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez. This procedural closure, combined with the absence of successful nullity actions through authorized channels and the completion of the runoff tally, underpins traders' 99% implied probability that the original election will stand by the June 30 deadline. Institutional continuity and exhausted legal avenues anchor this consensus. Late rulings by the Constitutional Tribunal or unforeseen procedural reversals before expiration remain the primary, though narrow, paths that could still shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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