The JNE’s late-April 3-2 rejection of annulment petitions from Rafael López Aliaga and allied candidates, followed by confirmation of the June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, has anchored trader consensus that the April 12 first-round results will stand. Procedural deadlines for nullity actions have passed, multiple petitions were dismissed for incomplete filings, and no successful challenges have advanced in the intervening weeks. With June 30 now only days away and institutional continuity prevailing, the 99% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of viable legal pathways. Remaining uncertainty centers on any unforeseen last-minute court interventions or procedural reversals that could theoretically reopen first-round claims before the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$173,138 Vol.
$173,138 Vol.
2026/06/30
$173,138 Vol.
$173,138 Vol.
2026/06/30
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The JNE’s late-April 3-2 rejection of annulment petitions from Rafael López Aliaga and allied candidates, followed by confirmation of the June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, has anchored trader consensus that the April 12 first-round results will stand. Procedural deadlines for nullity actions have passed, multiple petitions were dismissed for incomplete filings, and no successful challenges have advanced in the intervening weeks. With June 30 now only days away and institutional continuity prevailing, the 99% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of viable legal pathways. Remaining uncertainty centers on any unforeseen last-minute court interventions or procedural reversals that could theoretically reopen first-round claims before the cutoff.
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
音量
$173,138終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The JNE’s late-April 3-2 rejection of annulment petitions from Rafael López Aliaga and allied candidates, followed by confirmation of the June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, has anchored trader consensus that the April 12 first-round results will stand. Procedural deadlines for nullity actions have passed, multiple petitions were dismissed for incomplete filings, and no successful challenges have advanced in the intervening weeks. With June 30 now only days away and institutional continuity prevailing, the 99% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of viable legal pathways. Remaining uncertainty centers on any unforeseen last-minute court interventions or procedural reversals that could theoretically reopen first-round claims before the cutoff.
Peru’s conservative presidential candidate, Rafael López Aliaga, urged authorities to annul the April 12, 2026, general election, alleging electoral manipulation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the results of the April 12, 2026, Peruvian general election are officially invalidated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Such invalidation must occur through authorized officials, government agencies, or competent state entities with the legal authority to nullify election results, for example through a ruling by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones or a binding decision by the Tribunal Constitucional del Perú that results in the annulment or re-run of the election.
A “Yes” resolution will also occur if a new general election is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the April 12, 2026, election.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the the government of Peru; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$173,138終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The JNE’s late-April 3-2 rejection of annulment petitions from Rafael López Aliaga and allied candidates, followed by confirmation of the June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, has anchored trader consensus that the April 12 first-round results will stand. Procedural deadlines for nullity actions have passed, multiple petitions were dismissed for incomplete filings, and no successful challenges have advanced in the intervening weeks. With June 30 now only days away and institutional continuity prevailing, the 99% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of viable legal pathways. Remaining uncertainty centers on any unforeseen last-minute court interventions or procedural reversals that could theoretically reopen first-round claims before the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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