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政治·投票者ID

SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？

Market icon
政治·投票者ID

SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？

$259,633 Vol.

2026/04/30
Polymarket

$259,633 Vol.

Polymarket

4月30日

$190,842 Vol.

1%

12月31日

$68,808 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration under the National Voter Registration Act, passed the House in April 2025 and again as the SAVE America Act in February 2026, but remains stalled in the Republican-controlled Senate (53-47 majority). Democratic opposition, citing risks to eligible voters, led to a failed advancement vote on March 26, 2026, highlighting filibuster challenges requiring 60 votes for cloture. President Trump's endorsement as a top priority adds pressure, yet bipartisan support appears elusive ahead of 2026 midterms. Traders weigh procedural hurdles against GOP legislative momentum and potential reconciliation maneuvers or standalone votes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$259,633
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration under the National Voter Registration Act, passed the House in April 2025 and again as the SAVE America Act in February 2026, but remains stalled in the Republican-controlled Senate (53-47 majority). Democratic opposition, citing risks to eligible voters, led to a failed advancement vote on March 26, 2026, highlighting filibuster challenges requiring 60 votes for cloture. President Trump's endorsement as a top priority adds pressure, yet bipartisan support appears elusive ahead of 2026 midterms. Traders weigh procedural hurdles against GOP legislative momentum and potential reconciliation maneuvers or standalone votes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$259,633
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で55%、次いで「4月30日」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、55¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に55%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」は$259.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 10, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で55%であり、市場がこの結果に55%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4月30日」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。