Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for 上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?

上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?

icon for 上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?

上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$49,929 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$49,929 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House on a narrow party-line 218-213 vote in February 2026 but has stalled in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus stems from insurmountable filibuster hurdles needing 60 votes for cloture, with Democrats uniformly opposing it as unnecessary voter suppression amid low evidence of non-citizen voting. A recent April 23 amendment bid to attach it to a reconciliation package failed 48-50, underscoring lack of bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would require filibuster reform—rejected by Senate GOP leadership—or a surprise standalone floor vote before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027, both improbable given current whip counts and priorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$49,929
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House on a narrow party-line 218-213 vote in February 2026 but has stalled in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus stems from insurmountable filibuster hurdles needing 60 votes for cloture, with Democrats uniformly opposing it as unnecessary voter suppression amid low evidence of non-citizen voting. A recent April 23 amendment bid to attach it to a reconciliation package failed 48-50, underscoring lack of bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would require filibuster reform—rejected by Senate GOP leadership—or a surprise standalone floor vote before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027, both improbable given current whip counts and priorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$49,929
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「上院はSAVEアメリカ法(H.R. 7296)を可決しますか?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?」は$49.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「上院はSAVEアメリカ法(H.R. 7296)を可決しますか?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「上院はセーブ・アメリカ法( H.R. 7296 )を可決しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。