Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for 2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?

2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?

icon for 2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?

2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket

$19,917 Vol.

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket

$19,917 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. House Republicans advanced a partial measure in July 2026 that bars new individual stock purchases by members, spouses, and dependents while requiring advance disclosure of sales, yet attached it to a voter-identification provision that reduced Democratic support. The bill cleared the House 232-198 but has stalled in the Senate, where even a separate bipartisan committee-approved proposal faces a 60-vote threshold and competing priorities. Broader proposals requiring full divestment or covering the executive branch have not progressed, and recent reporting highlights limited floor time before the end of the 119th Congress. These procedural and partisan barriers have kept the implied probability of a comprehensive ban before 2027 at 6 percent among traders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$19,917
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. House Republicans advanced a partial measure in July 2026 that bars new individual stock purchases by members, spouses, and dependents while requiring advance disclosure of sales, yet attached it to a voter-identification provision that reduced Democratic support. The bill cleared the House 232-198 but has stalled in the Senate, where even a separate bipartisan committee-approved proposal faces a 60-vote threshold and competing priorities. Broader proposals requiring full divestment or covering the executive branch have not progressed, and recent reporting highlights limited floor time before the end of the 119th Congress. These procedural and partisan barriers have kept the implied probability of a comprehensive ban before 2027 at 6 percent among traders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$19,917
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年以前に米国議会の株式取引禁止はありますか?」で6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、6¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に6%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?」は$19.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?」の現在のリーダーは「2027年以前に米国議会の株式取引禁止はありますか?」でわずか6%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までの米国議会の株式取引禁止?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。