The Swiss National Bank’s September 24, 2026, assessment carries an 88.5% market-implied probability of an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting broad trader consensus that subdued inflation and franc strength continue to anchor monetary policy. Switzerland’s conditional inflation forecast remains near 0.6% for 2026–2027, well inside the SNB’s price-stability range, while the strong CHF has offset imported energy-price pressures stemming from recent geopolitical tensions. Recent surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations of a hold through year-end and into 2027, with the first 25-basis-point hike not priced until mid-2027 at the earliest. The SNB has signaled readiness for FX intervention to counter excessive franc appreciation but sees no immediate need to adjust the policy rate from its current neutral stance. With the meeting just days away and no material shift in incoming data, the low probabilities assigned to rate moves underscore the stability of these conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日据え置き 89%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 3.8%
0.25％引き下げ 2.3%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ 1.7%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ
2%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
4%
据え置き
89%
0.25％引き下げ
2%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ
2%
据え置き 89%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 3.8%
0.25％引き下げ 2.3%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ 1.7%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ
$441 Vol.
2%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
$693 Vol.
4%
据え置き
$2,970 Vol.
89%
0.25％引き下げ
$361 Vol.
2%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ
$381 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24, 2026, assessment carries an 88.5% market-implied probability of an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting broad trader consensus that subdued inflation and franc strength continue to anchor monetary policy. Switzerland’s conditional inflation forecast remains near 0.6% for 2026–2027, well inside the SNB’s price-stability range, while the strong CHF has offset imported energy-price pressures stemming from recent geopolitical tensions. Recent surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations of a hold through year-end and into 2027, with the first 25-basis-point hike not priced until mid-2027 at the earliest. The SNB has signaled readiness for FX intervention to counter excessive franc appreciation but sees no immediate need to adjust the policy rate from its current neutral stance. With the meeting just days away and no material shift in incoming data, the low probabilities assigned to rate moves underscore the stability of these conditions.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
音量
$4,845終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24, 2026, assessment carries an 88.5% market-implied probability of an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting broad trader consensus that subdued inflation and franc strength continue to anchor monetary policy. Switzerland’s conditional inflation forecast remains near 0.6% for 2026–2027, well inside the SNB’s price-stability range, while the strong CHF has offset imported energy-price pressures stemming from recent geopolitical tensions. Recent surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations of a hold through year-end and into 2027, with the first 25-basis-point hike not priced until mid-2027 at the earliest. The SNB has signaled readiness for FX intervention to counter excessive franc appreciation but sees no immediate need to adjust the policy rate from its current neutral stance. With the meeting just days away and no material shift in incoming data, the low probabilities assigned to rate moves underscore the stability of these conditions.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
音量
$4,845終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Swiss National Bank’s September 24, 2026, assessment carries an 88.5% market-implied probability of an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting broad trader consensus that subdued inflation and franc strength continue to anchor monetary policy. Switzerland’s conditional inflation forecast remains near 0.6% for 2026–2027, well inside the SNB’s price-stability range, while the strong CHF has offset imported energy-price pressures stemming from recent geopolitical tensions. Recent surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations of a hold through year-end and into 2027, with the first 25-basis-point hike not priced until mid-2027 at the earliest. The SNB has signaled readiness for FX intervention to counter excessive franc appreciation but sees no immediate need to adjust the policy rate from its current neutral stance. With the meeting just days away and no material shift in incoming data, the low probabilities assigned to rate moves underscore the stability of these conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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