Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around a $10-16 million domestic opening weekend for A24's "The Drama," with 15-16 million leading at 42.5% implied probability amid strong pre-sales outperforming prior A24 rom-com "Materialists" and fresh Rotten Tomatoes score of 88% from early reviews praising Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's chemistry in this divisive dark comedy. Recent tracking estimates range $13-18 million from industry sources like Boxoffice Pro, though counter-programming against family blockbuster "Super Mario Galaxy" and holdover competition tempers upside, while the $28 million budget adds breakeven pressure around $80 million worldwide. Final presale surges and Thursday previews could swing outcomes before the April 3 debut locks in results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
15-16m 43%
13-14m 41%
14-15m 38%
11-12m 38%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
<10m
35%
10-11m
35%
11-12m
38%
12-13m
38%
13-14m
41%
14-15m
38%
15-16m
43%
16-17m
19%
>17m
13%
15-16m 43%
13-14m 41%
14-15m 38%
11-12m 38%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
<10m
$1 Vol.
35%
10-11m
$0 Vol.
35%
11-12m
$0 Vol.
38%
12-13m
$0 Vol.
38%
13-14m
$0 Vol.
41%
14-15m
$3 Vol.
38%
15-16m
$0 Vol.
43%
16-17m
$137 Vol.
19%
>17m
$117 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around a $10-16 million domestic opening weekend for A24's "The Drama," with 15-16 million leading at 42.5% implied probability amid strong pre-sales outperforming prior A24 rom-com "Materialists" and fresh Rotten Tomatoes score of 88% from early reviews praising Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's chemistry in this divisive dark comedy. Recent tracking estimates range $13-18 million from industry sources like Boxoffice Pro, though counter-programming against family blockbuster "Super Mario Galaxy" and holdover competition tempers upside, while the $28 million budget adds breakeven pressure around $80 million worldwide. Final presale surges and Thursday previews could swing outcomes before the April 3 debut locks in results.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
音量
$230終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around a $10-16 million domestic opening weekend for A24's "The Drama," with 15-16 million leading at 42.5% implied probability amid strong pre-sales outperforming prior A24 rom-com "Materialists" and fresh Rotten Tomatoes score of 88% from early reviews praising Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's chemistry in this divisive dark comedy. Recent tracking estimates range $13-18 million from industry sources like Boxoffice Pro, though counter-programming against family blockbuster "Super Mario Galaxy" and holdover competition tempers upside, while the $28 million budget adds breakeven pressure around $80 million worldwide. Final presale surges and Thursday previews could swing outcomes before the April 3 debut locks in results.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$230終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around a $10-16 million domestic opening weekend for A24's "The Drama," with 15-16 million leading at 42.5% implied probability amid strong pre-sales outperforming prior A24 rom-com "Materialists" and fresh Rotten Tomatoes score of 88% from early reviews praising Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's chemistry in this divisive dark comedy. Recent tracking estimates range $13-18 million from industry sources like Boxoffice Pro, though counter-programming against family blockbuster "Super Mario Galaxy" and holdover competition tempers upside, while the $28 million budget adds breakeven pressure around $80 million worldwide. Final presale surges and Thursday previews could swing outcomes before the April 3 debut locks in results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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