Recent polls aggregate to a RealClearPolitics average of 41% approval for President Trump's job performance, with recent surveys ranging from 36% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 44% (Rasmussen), reflecting trader consensus tightly bunched around 39-40.4%. This narrow positioning stems from steady downward pressure since late February's onset of the Iran war, which has spiked fuel prices and eroded net approval on the economy to around -21 and foreign policy amid stalled ceasefire talks. Divergent pollster methodologies and soft independents keep the race close; breakthroughs in diplomacy, upcoming inflation data, or a strong jobs report could lift odds above 41%, while escalation or weak economic indicators might push below 39%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Trump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.0–39.4 28%
39.5–39.9 25%
40.5–40.9 24%
<39.0 8%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
8%
39.0–39.4
28%
39.5–39.9
25%
40.0–40.4
42%
40.5–40.9
24%
41.0+
8%
39.0–39.4 28%
39.5–39.9 25%
40.5–40.9 24%
<39.0 8%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
$337 Vol.
8%
39.0–39.4
$145 Vol.
28%
39.5–39.9
$145 Vol.
25%
40.0–40.4
$420 Vol.
42%
40.5–40.9
$145 Vol.
24%
41.0+
$211 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls aggregate to a RealClearPolitics average of 41% approval for President Trump's job performance, with recent surveys ranging from 36% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 44% (Rasmussen), reflecting trader consensus tightly bunched around 39-40.4%. This narrow positioning stems from steady downward pressure since late February's onset of the Iran war, which has spiked fuel prices and eroded net approval on the economy to around -21 and foreign policy amid stalled ceasefire talks. Divergent pollster methodologies and soft independents keep the race close; breakthroughs in diplomacy, upcoming inflation data, or a strong jobs report could lift odds above 41%, while escalation or weak economic indicators might push below 39%.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
音量
$1,334終了日
Apr 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls aggregate to a RealClearPolitics average of 41% approval for President Trump's job performance, with recent surveys ranging from 36% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 44% (Rasmussen), reflecting trader consensus tightly bunched around 39-40.4%. This narrow positioning stems from steady downward pressure since late February's onset of the Iran war, which has spiked fuel prices and eroded net approval on the economy to around -21 and foreign policy amid stalled ceasefire talks. Divergent pollster methodologies and soft independents keep the race close; breakthroughs in diplomacy, upcoming inflation data, or a strong jobs report could lift odds above 41%, while escalation or weak economic indicators might push below 39%.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$1,334終了日
Apr 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls aggregate to a RealClearPolitics average of 41% approval for President Trump's job performance, with recent surveys ranging from 36% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 44% (Rasmussen), reflecting trader consensus tightly bunched around 39-40.4%. This narrow positioning stems from steady downward pressure since late February's onset of the Iran war, which has spiked fuel prices and eroded net approval on the economy to around -21 and foreign policy amid stalled ceasefire talks. Divergent pollster methodologies and soft independents keep the race close; breakthroughs in diplomacy, upcoming inflation data, or a strong jobs report could lift odds above 41%, while escalation or weak economic indicators might push below 39%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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