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トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?

Mar 14

Mar 14

上昇

5% chance
Polymarket

$11,772 Vol.

上昇

5% chance
Polymarket

$11,772 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$11,772
終了日
Mar 14, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$11,772
終了日
Mar 14, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」はPolymarket上の日次予測市場で、トレーダーはタイトルに指定された日次ウィンドウ内でBitcoinの価格が始値より高く(「Up」)終わるか低く(「Down」)終わるかのシェアを売買します。現在の市場確率は「下降」に対して95%です。価格95%は、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。価格はトレーダーがBitcoinのライブ価格変動に反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」は$11.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています。Bitcoin Up or Downマーケットはライブの価格変動にリアルタイムで反応する活発なトレーダーを引き付けます。この活動レベルにより、現在のUp/Downオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることが保証されます。このページでライブ価格を追跡し、直接取引できます。

「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」で取引するには、March 13の正午ETにおけるBitcoinの価格がMarch 6の正午ETより高くなる(「Up」)か低くなる(「Down」)かを判断してください。価格が上がると思えば「Up」を、下がると思えば「Down」を購入します。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。結果が正しければ、各シェアは$1.00を支払います。正しくなければ、シェアは$0の価値になります。

「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」の現在の確率は「下降」に対して95%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこの日次ウィンドウ内でBitcoinの価格が下降で終わる確率を95%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがBitcoinのライブ価格データに反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。丸一日にわたって、その日の価格アクションが展開するにつれて変化するセンチメントをオッズが反映します。 頻繁に確認するか、ウィンドウが閉じる前に今すぐ取引してください。

「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」市場は、March 13の正午ETとMarch 6の正午ETにおけるBitcoinの価格の比較に基づいて決済されます。Binance BTC/USDTの1分キャンドル終値を使用します。March 13の正午価格が高ければ結果は「Up」、低ければ「Down」、同じであれば市場は50-50で決済されます。「ルール」セクションで完全な基準を確認できます。