Tesla (TSLA) shares hover near $347, with Polymarket's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across $325-$370 bins for the April 13 week-end close reflecting trader consensus on high pre-earnings uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 results on April 22. The April 2 Q1 delivery report slightly missed consensus at a modest year-over-year production gain, extending an 8-week losing streak and amplifying a 23% YTD decline amid China sales weakness and EV pricing pressures, though energy storage growth provides offset. Analyst average price targets near $400 signal longer-term optimism on autonomy and cost reductions, but near-term swings hinge on macro risk appetite, competitive positioning versus legacy automakers, and FSD deployment updates—key differentiators in this closely contested range-bound setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$330～$335 49%
$340〜$345 49%
$345〜$350 49%
$355〜$360 49%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
$325未満
48%
$325～$330
49%
$330～$335
49%
$335-$340
47%
$340〜$345
49%
$345〜$350
49%
$350〜$355
48%
$355〜$360
49%
$360～$365
47%
$365〜$370
47%
$370超
48%
$330～$335 49%
$340〜$345 49%
$345〜$350 49%
$355〜$360 49%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
$325未満
$0 Vol.
48%
$325～$330
$0 Vol.
49%
$330～$335
$0 Vol.
49%
$335-$340
$0 Vol.
47%
$340〜$345
$0 Vol.
49%
$345〜$350
$0 Vol.
49%
$350〜$355
$0 Vol.
48%
$355〜$360
$0 Vol.
49%
$360～$365
$0 Vol.
47%
$365〜$370
$0 Vol.
47%
$370超
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares hover near $347, with Polymarket's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across $325-$370 bins for the April 13 week-end close reflecting trader consensus on high pre-earnings uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 results on April 22. The April 2 Q1 delivery report slightly missed consensus at a modest year-over-year production gain, extending an 8-week losing streak and amplifying a 23% YTD decline amid China sales weakness and EV pricing pressures, though energy storage growth provides offset. Analyst average price targets near $400 signal longer-term optimism on autonomy and cost reductions, but near-term swings hinge on macro risk appetite, competitive positioning versus legacy automakers, and FSD deployment updates—key differentiators in this closely contested range-bound setup.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares hover near $347, with Polymarket's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across $325-$370 bins for the April 13 week-end close reflecting trader consensus on high pre-earnings uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 results on April 22. The April 2 Q1 delivery report slightly missed consensus at a modest year-over-year production gain, extending an 8-week losing streak and amplifying a 23% YTD decline amid China sales weakness and EV pricing pressures, though energy storage growth provides offset. Analyst average price targets near $400 signal longer-term optimism on autonomy and cost reductions, but near-term swings hinge on macro risk appetite, competitive positioning versus legacy automakers, and FSD deployment updates—key differentiators in this closely contested range-bound setup.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ETTesla (TSLA) shares hover near $347, with Polymarket's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across $325-$370 bins for the April 13 week-end close reflecting trader consensus on high pre-earnings uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 results on April 22. The April 2 Q1 delivery report slightly missed consensus at a modest year-over-year production gain, extending an 8-week losing streak and amplifying a 23% YTD decline amid China sales weakness and EV pricing pressures, though energy storage growth provides offset. Analyst average price targets near $400 signal longer-term optimism on autonomy and cost reductions, but near-term swings hinge on macro risk appetite, competitive positioning versus legacy automakers, and FSD deployment updates—key differentiators in this closely contested range-bound setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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