Tesla shares have traded in a narrow range near $418–$424 through early June 2026, with the June 4 session closing around $418.45 after opening near $420. This positioning underpins the 55.5% market-implied probability attached to a weekly close below $420, as traders price in limited upside momentum absent fresh catalysts. Recent sessions reflect pressure from mixed EV sales data, competitive robotaxi progress in Austin against rivals like Waymo, and spillover effects from broader tech earnings, including Broadcom’s results. With the next earnings release not due until July and no major policy or product milestones imminent this week, the distribution across $420–$435 buckets at 19–8% reflects measured expectations for modest volatility into Friday’s close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<$420 52%
$420-$425 17%
$425-$430 17%
>$465 8.1%
<$420
56%
$420-$425
24%
$425-$430
17%
$430-$435
8%
$435-$440
3%
$440-$445
6%
$445-$450
6%
$450-$455
5%
$455-$460
6%
$460-$465
6%
>$465
8%
<$420 52%
$420-$425 17%
$425-$430 17%
>$465 8.1%
<$420
56%
$420-$425
24%
$425-$430
17%
$430-$435
8%
$435-$440
3%
$440-$445
6%
$445-$450
6%
$450-$455
5%
$455-$460
6%
$460-$465
6%
>$465
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Tesla shares have traded in a narrow range near $418–$424 through early June 2026, with the June 4 session closing around $418.45 after opening near $420. This positioning underpins the 55.5% market-implied probability attached to a weekly close below $420, as traders price in limited upside momentum absent fresh catalysts. Recent sessions reflect pressure from mixed EV sales data, competitive robotaxi progress in Austin against rivals like Waymo, and spillover effects from broader tech earnings, including Broadcom’s results. With the next earnings release not due until July and no major policy or product milestones imminent this week, the distribution across $420–$435 buckets at 19–8% reflects measured expectations for modest volatility into Friday’s close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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