SpaceX’s Starship V3 vehicles now integrate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant feed lines, enabling the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and transfer demonstration targeted for 2026. Recent Flight 13 success in July 2026, which deployed operational Starlink satellites, validated upgraded Raptor 3 engines and set the stage for Flight 14’s planned low-Earth orbit attempt and booster catch later this month. NASA-qualified androgynous docking hardware, already tested for Artemis Orion interfaces, provides proven navigation heritage via DragonEye sensors. Competitive pressure from lunar refueling needs and internal milestones for Mars tanker operations continue to drive rapid iteration, though regulatory approvals and vehicle recovery remain key variables for near-term docking attempts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$59,655 Vol.
2026/12/30
2026年12月31日
12%
2027年12月31日
61%
$59,655 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$38,816 Vol.
12%
2027年12月31日
$20,839 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Starship V3 vehicles now integrate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant feed lines, enabling the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and transfer demonstration targeted for 2026. Recent Flight 13 success in July 2026, which deployed operational Starlink satellites, validated upgraded Raptor 3 engines and set the stage for Flight 14’s planned low-Earth orbit attempt and booster catch later this month. NASA-qualified androgynous docking hardware, already tested for Artemis Orion interfaces, provides proven navigation heritage via DragonEye sensors. Competitive pressure from lunar refueling needs and internal milestones for Mars tanker operations continue to drive rapid iteration, though regulatory approvals and vehicle recovery remain key variables for near-term docking attempts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
音量
$59,655終了日
2028/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Starship V3 vehicles now integrate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant feed lines, enabling the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and transfer demonstration targeted for 2026. Recent Flight 13 success in July 2026, which deployed operational Starlink satellites, validated upgraded Raptor 3 engines and set the stage for Flight 14’s planned low-Earth orbit attempt and booster catch later this month. NASA-qualified androgynous docking hardware, already tested for Artemis Orion interfaces, provides proven navigation heritage via DragonEye sensors. Competitive pressure from lunar refueling needs and internal milestones for Mars tanker operations continue to drive rapid iteration, though regulatory approvals and vehicle recovery remain key variables for near-term docking attempts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$59,655終了日
2028/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s Starship V3 vehicles now integrate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant feed lines, enabling the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and transfer demonstration targeted for 2026. Recent Flight 13 success in July 2026, which deployed operational Starlink satellites, validated upgraded Raptor 3 engines and set the stage for Flight 14’s planned low-Earth orbit attempt and booster catch later this month. NASA-qualified androgynous docking hardware, already tested for Artemis Orion interfaces, provides proven navigation heritage via DragonEye sensors. Competitive pressure from lunar refueling needs and internal milestones for Mars tanker operations continue to drive rapid iteration, though regulatory approvals and vehicle recovery remain key variables for near-term docking attempts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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