SpaceX is advancing Starship infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37, with the Gigabay assembly facility nearing completion and launch mount work progressing rapidly as of September 2026. Recent Texas test flights, including Flight 13 in July and the upcoming Flight 14 targeting late September for the first orbital attempt with V3 vehicles and Raptor engines, are key milestones that must demonstrate reliable booster recovery and upper-stage performance before East Coast operations begin. The shift of Starlink missions to Starship from Florida pads underscores competitive pressure to expand launch cadence beyond Boca Chica. Regulatory approvals, static fire testing at Roberts Road, and successful V3 iterations remain critical swing factors for any 2026 debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
December 31, 2026
13%
June 30, 2027
75%
$9,322 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$7,303 Vol.
13%
June 30, 2027
$224 Vol.
75%
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is advancing Starship infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37, with the Gigabay assembly facility nearing completion and launch mount work progressing rapidly as of September 2026. Recent Texas test flights, including Flight 13 in July and the upcoming Flight 14 targeting late September for the first orbital attempt with V3 vehicles and Raptor engines, are key milestones that must demonstrate reliable booster recovery and upper-stage performance before East Coast operations begin. The shift of Starlink missions to Starship from Florida pads underscores competitive pressure to expand launch cadence beyond Boca Chica. Regulatory approvals, static fire testing at Roberts Road, and successful V3 iterations remain critical swing factors for any 2026 debut.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
音量
$9,322終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is advancing Starship infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37, with the Gigabay assembly facility nearing completion and launch mount work progressing rapidly as of September 2026. Recent Texas test flights, including Flight 13 in July and the upcoming Flight 14 targeting late September for the first orbital attempt with V3 vehicles and Raptor engines, are key milestones that must demonstrate reliable booster recovery and upper-stage performance before East Coast operations begin. The shift of Starlink missions to Starship from Florida pads underscores competitive pressure to expand launch cadence beyond Boca Chica. Regulatory approvals, static fire testing at Roberts Road, and successful V3 iterations remain critical swing factors for any 2026 debut.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$9,322終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...SpaceX is advancing Starship infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A and Cape Canaveral’s SLC-37, with the Gigabay assembly facility nearing completion and launch mount work progressing rapidly as of September 2026. Recent Texas test flights, including Flight 13 in July and the upcoming Flight 14 targeting late September for the first orbital attempt with V3 vehicles and Raptor engines, are key milestones that must demonstrate reliable booster recovery and upper-stage performance before East Coast operations begin. The shift of Starlink missions to Starship from Florida pads underscores competitive pressure to expand launch cadence beyond Boca Chica. Regulatory approvals, static fire testing at Roberts Road, and successful V3 iterations remain critical swing factors for any 2026 debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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