SpaceX is advancing ground infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral's LC-37 to enable Starship and Super Heavy operations from Florida, with contractors accelerating tower and pad work following the successful Flight 13 test from Texas in July 2026. Executive updates from Gwynne Shotwell highlight a potential first orbital attempt before year-end, contingent on achieving reliable booster catch and ship performance in upcoming Texas flights. Regulatory approvals for high launch cadence and environmental reviews support the timeline, while competitive pressure from other heavy-lift vehicles adds urgency to diversify launch sites beyond Starbase. Key near-term catalysts include completion of Florida-specific vehicle processing and any delays in V3 Starship reliability demonstrations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/31
August 31, 2026
3%
December 31, 2026
35%
June 30, 2027
85%
$5,965 Vol.
August 31, 2026
$1,413 Vol.
3%
December 31, 2026
$4,394 Vol.
35%
June 30, 2027
$159 Vol.
85%
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is advancing ground infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral's LC-37 to enable Starship and Super Heavy operations from Florida, with contractors accelerating tower and pad work following the successful Flight 13 test from Texas in July 2026. Executive updates from Gwynne Shotwell highlight a potential first orbital attempt before year-end, contingent on achieving reliable booster catch and ship performance in upcoming Texas flights. Regulatory approvals for high launch cadence and environmental reviews support the timeline, while competitive pressure from other heavy-lift vehicles adds urgency to diversify launch sites beyond Starbase. Key near-term catalysts include completion of Florida-specific vehicle processing and any delays in V3 Starship reliability demonstrations.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
音量
$5,965終了日
2027/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is advancing ground infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral's LC-37 to enable Starship and Super Heavy operations from Florida, with contractors accelerating tower and pad work following the successful Flight 13 test from Texas in July 2026. Executive updates from Gwynne Shotwell highlight a potential first orbital attempt before year-end, contingent on achieving reliable booster catch and ship performance in upcoming Texas flights. Regulatory approvals for high launch cadence and environmental reviews support the timeline, while competitive pressure from other heavy-lift vehicles adds urgency to diversify launch sites beyond Starbase. Key near-term catalysts include completion of Florida-specific vehicle processing and any delays in V3 Starship reliability demonstrations.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$5,965終了日
2027/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX is advancing ground infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral's LC-37 to enable Starship and Super Heavy operations from Florida, with contractors accelerating tower and pad work following the successful Flight 13 test from Texas in July 2026. Executive updates from Gwynne Shotwell highlight a potential first orbital attempt before year-end, contingent on achieving reliable booster catch and ship performance in upcoming Texas flights. Regulatory approvals for high launch cadence and environmental reviews support the timeline, while competitive pressure from other heavy-lift vehicles adds urgency to diversify launch sites beyond Starbase. Key near-term catalysts include completion of Florida-specific vehicle processing and any delays in V3 Starship reliability demonstrations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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