**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.** Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, as a more efficient, lower-priced alternative to the flagship Fable 5 while retaining strong agentic coding and reasoning performance. It followed Opus 4.8 (May 28) and preceded Fable/Mythos 5.1 on September 1. Unverified reports from multiple accounts point to a mid-September rollout (around September 17–18 or by month-end), citing internal routing tests and greyscale evaluations, though Anthropic has issued no official confirmation, model card, or API listing as of mid-September. Markets reflect this momentum, with high implied probability of a release by late September amid ongoing competition on capability, cost, and safety guardrails. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic announcements, API updates, or credible leaks that could confirm timing or shift expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$123,930 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
79%
9月17日
14%
9月20日
27%
9月24日
68%
9月27日
63%
10月31日
98%
12月31日
98%
$123,930 Vol.
9月30日
$60,581 Vol.
79%
9月17日
$1,665 Vol.
14%
9月20日
$909 Vol.
27%
9月24日
$506 Vol.
68%
9月27日
$106 Vol.
63%
10月31日
$13,502 Vol.
98%
12月31日
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.**
Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, as a more efficient, lower-priced alternative to the flagship Fable 5 while retaining strong agentic coding and reasoning performance. It followed Opus 4.8 (May 28) and preceded Fable/Mythos 5.1 on September 1. Unverified reports from multiple accounts point to a mid-September rollout (around September 17–18 or by month-end), citing internal routing tests and greyscale evaluations, though Anthropic has issued no official confirmation, model card, or API listing as of mid-September.
Markets reflect this momentum, with high implied probability of a release by late September amid ongoing competition on capability, cost, and safety guardrails. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic announcements, API updates, or credible leaks that could confirm timing or shift expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
音量
$123,930終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.**
Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, as a more efficient, lower-priced alternative to the flagship Fable 5 while retaining strong agentic coding and reasoning performance. It followed Opus 4.8 (May 28) and preceded Fable/Mythos 5.1 on September 1. Unverified reports from multiple accounts point to a mid-September rollout (around September 17–18 or by month-end), citing internal routing tests and greyscale evaluations, though Anthropic has issued no official confirmation, model card, or API listing as of mid-September.
Markets reflect this momentum, with high implied probability of a release by late September amid ongoing competition on capability, cost, and safety guardrails. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic announcements, API updates, or credible leaks that could confirm timing or shift expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$123,930終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.** Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, as a more efficient, lower-priced alternative to the flagship Fable 5 while retaining strong agentic coding and reasoning performance. It followed Opus 4.8 (May 28) and preceded Fable/Mythos 5.1 on September 1. Unverified reports from multiple accounts point to a mid-September rollout (around September 17–18 or by month-end), citing internal routing tests and greyscale evaluations, though Anthropic has issued no official confirmation, model card, or API listing as of mid-September. Markets reflect this momentum, with high implied probability of a release by late September amid ongoing competition on capability, cost, and safety guardrails. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic announcements, API updates, or credible leaks that could confirm timing or shift expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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