Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence drives trader expectations for the next flagship model, following Opus 5’s July 24, 2026 launch that delivered major gains in coding, agentic workflows, and benchmarks like Frontier-Bench at unchanged pricing. The company’s September 1 rollout of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 further signals rapid iteration across tiers, heightening pressure to refresh the Opus line amid competition from OpenAI and others on large language model capabilities. Prediction markets currently price a late-September window as the consensus outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of Anthropic’s pattern of frequent updates rather than any official timeline. Key upcoming catalysts include potential announcements tied to developer conferences or enterprise feature rollouts that could shift resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$105,378 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
76%
10月31日
99%
12月31日
98%
$105,378 Vol.
9月30日
$45,451 Vol.
76%
10月31日
$13,267 Vol.
99%
12月31日
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence drives trader expectations for the next flagship model, following Opus 5’s July 24, 2026 launch that delivered major gains in coding, agentic workflows, and benchmarks like Frontier-Bench at unchanged pricing. The company’s September 1 rollout of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 further signals rapid iteration across tiers, heightening pressure to refresh the Opus line amid competition from OpenAI and others on large language model capabilities. Prediction markets currently price a late-September window as the consensus outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of Anthropic’s pattern of frequent updates rather than any official timeline. Key upcoming catalysts include potential announcements tied to developer conferences or enterprise feature rollouts that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
音量
$105,378終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence drives trader expectations for the next flagship model, following Opus 5’s July 24, 2026 launch that delivered major gains in coding, agentic workflows, and benchmarks like Frontier-Bench at unchanged pricing. The company’s September 1 rollout of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 further signals rapid iteration across tiers, heightening pressure to refresh the Opus line amid competition from OpenAI and others on large language model capabilities. Prediction markets currently price a late-September window as the consensus outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of Anthropic’s pattern of frequent updates rather than any official timeline. Key upcoming catalysts include potential announcements tied to developer conferences or enterprise feature rollouts that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$105,378終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence drives trader expectations for the next flagship model, following Opus 5’s July 24, 2026 launch that delivered major gains in coding, agentic workflows, and benchmarks like Frontier-Bench at unchanged pricing. The company’s September 1 rollout of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 further signals rapid iteration across tiers, heightening pressure to refresh the Opus line amid competition from OpenAI and others on large language model capabilities. Prediction markets currently price a late-September window as the consensus outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of Anthropic’s pattern of frequent updates rather than any official timeline. Key upcoming catalysts include potential announcements tied to developer conferences or enterprise feature rollouts that could shift resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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