Recent developments show frontier large language models like Google’s Gemini Deep Think and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 reaching or exceeding gold-medal thresholds on 2025 IMO problems, yet traders assign only a 36% chance of an AI securing gold in 2026 because official IMO rules require unaided, contest-timed solutions under strict grading without external tools or human steering. Persistent gaps in visual reasoning, proof rigor, and generalization on novel problems continue to surface in third-party benchmarks, while release timelines for next-generation reasoning models remain uncertain. Key catalysts ahead include official post-competition reports from Shanghai and any verified perfect-score submissions from labs like OpenAI or Huawei before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent developments show frontier large language models like Google’s Gemini Deep Think and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 reaching or exceeding gold-medal thresholds on 2025 IMO problems, yet traders assign only a 36% chance of an AI securing gold in 2026 because official IMO rules require unaided, contest-timed solutions under strict grading without external tools or human steering. Persistent gaps in visual reasoning, proof rigor, and generalization on novel problems continue to surface in third-party benchmarks, while release timelines for next-generation reasoning models remain uncertain. Key catalysts ahead include official post-competition reports from Shanghai and any verified perfect-score submissions from labs like OpenAI or Huawei before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
音量
$8,374終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent developments show frontier large language models like Google’s Gemini Deep Think and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 reaching or exceeding gold-medal thresholds on 2025 IMO problems, yet traders assign only a 36% chance of an AI securing gold in 2026 because official IMO rules require unaided, contest-timed solutions under strict grading without external tools or human steering. Persistent gaps in visual reasoning, proof rigor, and generalization on novel problems continue to surface in third-party benchmarks, while release timelines for next-generation reasoning models remain uncertain. Key catalysts ahead include official post-competition reports from Shanghai and any verified perfect-score submissions from labs like OpenAI or Huawei before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
音量
$8,374終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments show frontier large language models like Google’s Gemini Deep Think and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 reaching or exceeding gold-medal thresholds on 2025 IMO problems, yet traders assign only a 36% chance of an AI securing gold in 2026 because official IMO rules require unaided, contest-timed solutions under strict grading without external tools or human steering. Persistent gaps in visual reasoning, proof rigor, and generalization on novel problems continue to surface in third-party benchmarks, while release timelines for next-generation reasoning models remain uncertain. Key catalysts ahead include official post-competition reports from Shanghai and any verified perfect-score submissions from labs like OpenAI or Huawei before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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