Recent progress in large language models has narrowed the gap, with 2025 systems from OpenAI and Google DeepMind reaching the gold threshold at 35/42 on IMO problems through improved reasoning chains, yet traders assign “No” a 59% implied probability because official IMO rules require formal contestant registration, fixed time limits without external tools, and unanimous expert grading of natural-language proofs. Persistent shortfalls on the hardest problems, combined with limited official certification for 2026 entries, keep the market-implied odds tilted against an AI gold. Upcoming post-IMO reviews and any announced AI submissions remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent progress in large language models has narrowed the gap, with 2025 systems from OpenAI and Google DeepMind reaching the gold threshold at 35/42 on IMO problems through improved reasoning chains, yet traders assign “No” a 59% implied probability because official IMO rules require formal contestant registration, fixed time limits without external tools, and unanimous expert grading of natural-language proofs. Persistent shortfalls on the hardest problems, combined with limited official certification for 2026 entries, keep the market-implied odds tilted against an AI gold. Upcoming post-IMO reviews and any announced AI submissions remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
音量
$8,346終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent progress in large language models has narrowed the gap, with 2025 systems from OpenAI and Google DeepMind reaching the gold threshold at 35/42 on IMO problems through improved reasoning chains, yet traders assign “No” a 59% implied probability because official IMO rules require formal contestant registration, fixed time limits without external tools, and unanimous expert grading of natural-language proofs. Persistent shortfalls on the hardest problems, combined with limited official certification for 2026 entries, keep the market-implied odds tilted against an AI gold. Upcoming post-IMO reviews and any announced AI submissions remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
音量
$8,346終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent progress in large language models has narrowed the gap, with 2025 systems from OpenAI and Google DeepMind reaching the gold threshold at 35/42 on IMO problems through improved reasoning chains, yet traders assign “No” a 59% implied probability because official IMO rules require formal contestant registration, fixed time limits without external tools, and unanimous expert grading of natural-language proofs. Persistent shortfalls on the hardest problems, combined with limited official certification for 2026 entries, keep the market-implied odds tilted against an AI gold. Upcoming post-IMO reviews and any announced AI submissions remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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