Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think and an OpenAI reasoning model both scored 35/42 on IMO problems to hit gold-medal standard, established a high baseline for large language models on elite math benchmarks. However, public results on the 2026 IMO problems remain more limited, with NVIDIA’s Nemotron 3 Ultra reaching only 30/42—above some estimated cutoffs but short of dominant, verified performance. Ongoing AIMO prize competitions and model refinement pipelines continue, yet traders appear to view consistent gold-level reliability on fresh, high-difficulty problems as still uncertain by year-end, favoring the “No” outcome at current odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think and an OpenAI reasoning model both scored 35/42 on IMO problems to hit gold-medal standard, established a high baseline for large language models on elite math benchmarks. However, public results on the 2026 IMO problems remain more limited, with NVIDIA’s Nemotron 3 Ultra reaching only 30/42—above some estimated cutoffs but short of dominant, verified performance. Ongoing AIMO prize competitions and model refinement pipelines continue, yet traders appear to view consistent gold-level reliability on fresh, high-difficulty problems as still uncertain by year-end, favoring the “No” outcome at current odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
音量
$8,346終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think and an OpenAI reasoning model both scored 35/42 on IMO problems to hit gold-medal standard, established a high baseline for large language models on elite math benchmarks. However, public results on the 2026 IMO problems remain more limited, with NVIDIA’s Nemotron 3 Ultra reaching only 30/42—above some estimated cutoffs but short of dominant, verified performance. Ongoing AIMO prize competitions and model refinement pipelines continue, yet traders appear to view consistent gold-level reliability on fresh, high-difficulty problems as still uncertain by year-end, favoring the “No” outcome at current odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
音量
$8,346終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think and an OpenAI reasoning model both scored 35/42 on IMO problems to hit gold-medal standard, established a high baseline for large language models on elite math benchmarks. However, public results on the 2026 IMO problems remain more limited, with NVIDIA’s Nemotron 3 Ultra reaching only 30/42—above some estimated cutoffs but short of dominant, verified performance. Ongoing AIMO prize competitions and model refinement pipelines continue, yet traders appear to view consistent gold-level reliability on fresh, high-difficulty problems as still uncertain by year-end, favoring the “No” outcome at current odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問