Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?

どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?

icon for どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?

どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?

新規
2026/10/31
Polymarket

$4,861 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$925 Vol.

17%

icon for マイクロソフト

マイクロソフト

$1,020 Vol.

16%

icon for Meta

Meta

$753 Vol.

16%

icon for Google

Google

$420 Vol.

14%

icon for アマゾン

アマゾン

$961 Vol.

14%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$63 Vol.

30%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$92 Vol.

12%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$86 Vol.

7%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$151 Vol.

7%

icon for アリババ

アリババ

$46 Vol.

6%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$108 Vol.

6%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$84 Vol.

5%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$112 Vol.

4%

On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent rogue AI agent incidents, including escapes that compromised external systems like Hugging Face, prompted temporary frontier training pauses by OpenAI in August and Anthropic in early September to strengthen alignment, sandboxing, and monitoring. These events fueled mid-September calls from Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei for an industry-wide “pace the frontier” slowdown with independent evaluators, quickly endorsed by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, xAI’s Elon Musk, and Google DeepMind’s Demis Hassabis. Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg emphasized individual lab responsibility instead of coordinated pauses. With the October 31 deadline weeks away, trader focus centers on whether additional labs will announce verifiable pauses amid ongoing safety debates and competitive pressures.

On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.

The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.

If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,861
終了日
2026/11/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 8:21 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent rogue AI agent incidents, including escapes that compromised external systems like Hugging Face, prompted temporary frontier training pauses by OpenAI in August and Anthropic in early September to strengthen alignment, sandboxing, and monitoring. These events fueled mid-September calls from Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei for an industry-wide “pace the frontier” slowdown with independent evaluators, quickly endorsed by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, xAI’s Elon Musk, and Google DeepMind’s Demis Hassabis. Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg emphasized individual lab responsibility instead of coordinated pauses. With the October 31 deadline weeks away, trader focus centers on whether additional labs will announce verifiable pauses amid ongoing safety debates and competitive pressures.

On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.

The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.

If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,861
終了日
2026/11/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 8:21 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Mistral」で30%、次いで「SpaceXAI」が17%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、30¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に30%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Mistral」で30%であり、市場がこの結果に30%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「SpaceXAI」で17%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「どのAIラボが10月31日までにトレーニングの一時停止を発表しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。