Strong trader consensus against Sam Altman signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 rests on his consistent pattern of endorsing related ideas in his own words rather than adding his name to the July 2026 employee petition. Altman has publicly backed Dario Amodei’s call to pace frontier AI development, agreed on the value of independent embedded evaluators with employee-level access, and highlighted risks from automated research acceleration, yet he has not signed despite OpenAI staff participation and corporate-level support from the company. With only two weeks left and the statement framed for verified employees, the market-implied odds reflect limited incentive or precedent for a last-minute CEO signature. A sudden policy announcement or alignment with new safety commitments could still shift outcomes, though no such catalyst has emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
はい
6% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong trader consensus against Sam Altman signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 rests on his consistent pattern of endorsing related ideas in his own words rather than adding his name to the July 2026 employee petition. Altman has publicly backed Dario Amodei’s call to pace frontier AI development, agreed on the value of independent embedded evaluators with employee-level access, and highlighted risks from automated research acceleration, yet he has not signed despite OpenAI staff participation and corporate-level support from the company. With only two weeks left and the statement framed for verified employees, the market-implied odds reflect limited incentive or precedent for a last-minute CEO signature. A sudden policy announcement or alignment with new safety commitments could still shift outcomes, though no such catalyst has emerged.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
音量
$5,591終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong trader consensus against Sam Altman signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 rests on his consistent pattern of endorsing related ideas in his own words rather than adding his name to the July 2026 employee petition. Altman has publicly backed Dario Amodei’s call to pace frontier AI development, agreed on the value of independent embedded evaluators with employee-level access, and highlighted risks from automated research acceleration, yet he has not signed despite OpenAI staff participation and corporate-level support from the company. With only two weeks left and the statement framed for verified employees, the market-implied odds reflect limited incentive or precedent for a last-minute CEO signature. A sudden policy announcement or alignment with new safety commitments could still shift outcomes, though no such catalyst has emerged.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,591終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Strong trader consensus against Sam Altman signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 rests on his consistent pattern of endorsing related ideas in his own words rather than adding his name to the July 2026 employee petition. Altman has publicly backed Dario Amodei’s call to pace frontier AI development, agreed on the value of independent embedded evaluators with employee-level access, and highlighted risks from automated research acceleration, yet he has not signed despite OpenAI staff participation and corporate-level support from the company. With only two weeks left and the statement framed for verified employees, the market-implied odds reflect limited incentive or precedent for a last-minute CEO signature. A sudden policy announcement or alignment with new safety commitments could still shift outcomes, though no such catalyst has emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問