Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier large language model yet, with gains in autonomous planning, tool use, coding, and benchmarks that approach Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost. Trader consensus for the next Sonnet centers on an October 2026 window, reflecting the lab’s typical four-to-six-month cadence between Sonnet updates and the July 24 Opus 5 launch that continued the rapid 2026 shipping pace. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model refreshes, plus ongoing work on agentic features and safety evaluations, supports expectations of another incremental but capable release rather than a major generational jump. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference signals or API preview leaks that could shift the market-implied median around mid-October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,980 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
22%
10月31日
87%
12月31日
93%
$20,980 Vol.
9月30日
$1,124 Vol.
22%
10月31日
$12,024 Vol.
87%
12月31日
$4,092 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier large language model yet, with gains in autonomous planning, tool use, coding, and benchmarks that approach Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost. Trader consensus for the next Sonnet centers on an October 2026 window, reflecting the lab’s typical four-to-six-month cadence between Sonnet updates and the July 24 Opus 5 launch that continued the rapid 2026 shipping pace. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model refreshes, plus ongoing work on agentic features and safety evaluations, supports expectations of another incremental but capable release rather than a major generational jump. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference signals or API preview leaks that could shift the market-implied median around mid-October.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
音量
$20,980終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier large language model yet, with gains in autonomous planning, tool use, coding, and benchmarks that approach Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost. Trader consensus for the next Sonnet centers on an October 2026 window, reflecting the lab’s typical four-to-six-month cadence between Sonnet updates and the July 24 Opus 5 launch that continued the rapid 2026 shipping pace. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model refreshes, plus ongoing work on agentic features and safety evaluations, supports expectations of another incremental but capable release rather than a major generational jump. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference signals or API preview leaks that could shift the market-implied median around mid-October.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$20,980終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier large language model yet, with gains in autonomous planning, tool use, coding, and benchmarks that approach Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost. Trader consensus for the next Sonnet centers on an October 2026 window, reflecting the lab’s typical four-to-six-month cadence between Sonnet updates and the July 24 Opus 5 launch that continued the rapid 2026 shipping pace. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model refreshes, plus ongoing work on agentic features and safety evaluations, supports expectations of another incremental but capable release rather than a major generational jump. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference signals or API preview leaks that could shift the market-implied median around mid-October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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