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icon for ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?

ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?

icon for ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?

ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?

$973,893 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$973,893 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$973,797 Vol.

4%

2027年6月30日

$15 Vol.

54%

2027年12月31日

$81 Vol.

67%

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.The Doge-1 CubeSat, a 12U lunar orbiter fully funded in Dogecoin and built by Geometric Energy Corporation, is slated for a mid-September 2026 rideshare aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 from Cape Canaveral, potentially alongside Intuitive Machines' IM-3 lander. Traders are watching the final pre-launch integration milestones and any last-minute manifest adjustments, given the project's five-year history of repeated slips from its 2021 announcement. Recent social media buzz and crypto community attention have intensified as the September 14 target nears, yet historical patterns of payload and vehicle delays keep implied probabilities for a 2026 liftoff tempered. Key catalysts include any official SpaceX confirmation or FCC-related updates in the coming days, while broader industry manifest constraints and lunar alignment windows could push resolution into 2027.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
音量
$973,893
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.The Doge-1 CubeSat, a 12U lunar orbiter fully funded in Dogecoin and built by Geometric Energy Corporation, is slated for a mid-September 2026 rideshare aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 from Cape Canaveral, potentially alongside Intuitive Machines' IM-3 lander. Traders are watching the final pre-launch integration milestones and any last-minute manifest adjustments, given the project's five-year history of repeated slips from its 2021 announcement. Recent social media buzz and crypto community attention have intensified as the September 14 target nears, yet historical patterns of payload and vehicle delays keep implied probabilities for a 2026 liftoff tempered. Key catalysts include any official SpaceX confirmation or FCC-related updates in the coming days, while broader industry manifest constraints and lunar alignment windows could push resolution into 2027.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
音量
$973,893
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年12月31日」で67%、次いで「2027年6月30日」が54%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、67¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に67%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?」は$973.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2027年12月31日」で67%であり、市場がこの結果に67%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2027年6月30日」で54%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ドージェ1ルナーミッションは...までに打ち上げられますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。