Recent volatility in SpaceX and Tesla valuations, driven by post-IPO corrections and AI infrastructure investments, underpins the evenly matched market-implied odds for Elon Musk’s September 30 net worth. SpaceX, now representing over 80% of his wealth after its June debut and xAI integration, has seen shares fluctuate sharply amid strong Q2 revenue growth from launches, Starlink, and Grok 4.5 releases, offset by large AI compute commitments. Tesla’s record vehicle deliveries and energy storage gains contrast with ongoing CapEx for FSD, Cybercab, and Optimus scaling, injecting further uncertainty. Traders appear focused on whether sustained AI capability demonstrations and production ramps can stabilize prices before the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9,000億ドル〜1兆ドル 32%
7,000億〜8,000億ドル 28%
1.00~1.10兆ドル 26%
6,000億〜7,000億ドル 26%
<6000億ドル
8%
6,000億〜7,000億ドル
26%
7,000億〜8,000億ドル
28%
8,000億〜9,000億ドル
25%
9,000億ドル〜1兆ドル
32%
1.00~1.10兆ドル
26%
1.10兆ドル以上
4%
9,000億ドル〜1兆ドル 32%
7,000億〜8,000億ドル 28%
1.00~1.10兆ドル 26%
6,000億〜7,000億ドル 26%
<6000億ドル
8%
6,000億〜7,000億ドル
26%
7,000億〜8,000億ドル
28%
8,000億〜9,000億ドル
25%
9,000億ドル〜1兆ドル
32%
1.00~1.10兆ドル
26%
1.10兆ドル以上
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Recent volatility in SpaceX and Tesla valuations, driven by post-IPO corrections and AI infrastructure investments, underpins the evenly matched market-implied odds for Elon Musk’s September 30 net worth. SpaceX, now representing over 80% of his wealth after its June debut and xAI integration, has seen shares fluctuate sharply amid strong Q2 revenue growth from launches, Starlink, and Grok 4.5 releases, offset by large AI compute commitments. Tesla’s record vehicle deliveries and energy storage gains contrast with ongoing CapEx for FSD, Cybercab, and Optimus scaling, injecting further uncertainty. Traders appear focused on whether sustained AI capability demonstrations and production ramps can stabilize prices before the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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