Amazon’s February 2026 earnings guidance of roughly $200 billion in full-year capital expenditures—up more than 50 percent from the $131 billion spent in 2025—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on 2026 totals. The vast majority targets AWS data-center buildout, custom silicon, and generative-AI infrastructure, with analysts estimating 70–80 percent of the spend is AI-related. First-quarter 2026 results showed $43–44 billion in capex already deployed, keeping the company on pace while AWS revenue grew 24–28 percent year-over-year to $37.6 billion. Peer hyperscalers have issued similarly elevated 2026 forecasts, reinforcing the broader industry push, yet investors continue to monitor free-cash-flow pressure and the pace at which new AI capacity monetizes. No updated full-year guidance has been issued since the initial announcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2027/04/30
1,700億ドル
95%
1,800億ドル
91%
1,900億ドル
88%
2,000億ドル
74%
2,100億ドル
30%
2,200億ドル
29%
$4,724 Vol.
1,700億ドル
$440 Vol.
95%
1,800億ドル
$749 Vol.
91%
1,900億ドル
$893 Vol.
88%
2,000億ドル
$2,027 Vol.
74%
2,100億ドル
$342 Vol.
30%
2,200億ドル
$298 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Amazon’s February 2026 earnings guidance of roughly $200 billion in full-year capital expenditures—up more than 50 percent from the $131 billion spent in 2025—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on 2026 totals. The vast majority targets AWS data-center buildout, custom silicon, and generative-AI infrastructure, with analysts estimating 70–80 percent of the spend is AI-related. First-quarter 2026 results showed $43–44 billion in capex already deployed, keeping the company on pace while AWS revenue grew 24–28 percent year-over-year to $37.6 billion. Peer hyperscalers have issued similarly elevated 2026 forecasts, reinforcing the broader industry push, yet investors continue to monitor free-cash-flow pressure and the pace at which new AI capacity monetizes. No updated full-year guidance has been issued since the initial announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
音量
$4,724終了日
2027/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Amazon’s February 2026 earnings guidance of roughly $200 billion in full-year capital expenditures—up more than 50 percent from the $131 billion spent in 2025—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on 2026 totals. The vast majority targets AWS data-center buildout, custom silicon, and generative-AI infrastructure, with analysts estimating 70–80 percent of the spend is AI-related. First-quarter 2026 results showed $43–44 billion in capex already deployed, keeping the company on pace while AWS revenue grew 24–28 percent year-over-year to $37.6 billion. Peer hyperscalers have issued similarly elevated 2026 forecasts, reinforcing the broader industry push, yet investors continue to monitor free-cash-flow pressure and the pace at which new AI capacity monetizes. No updated full-year guidance has been issued since the initial announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
音量
$4,724終了日
2027/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amazon’s February 2026 earnings guidance of roughly $200 billion in full-year capital expenditures—up more than 50 percent from the $131 billion spent in 2025—remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on 2026 totals. The vast majority targets AWS data-center buildout, custom silicon, and generative-AI infrastructure, with analysts estimating 70–80 percent of the spend is AI-related. First-quarter 2026 results showed $43–44 billion in capex already deployed, keeping the company on pace while AWS revenue grew 24–28 percent year-over-year to $37.6 billion. Peer hyperscalers have issued similarly elevated 2026 forecasts, reinforcing the broader industry push, yet investors continue to monitor free-cash-flow pressure and the pace at which new AI capacity monetizes. No updated full-year guidance has been issued since the initial announcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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