No large near-Earth objects capable of delivering 100 kilotons of impact energy are on collision trajectories for 2026, according to NASA and ESA surveys that have catalogued the vast majority of threatening asteroids. Ongoing radar and optical monitoring, combined with orbital modeling, show only routine close approaches well below impact thresholds, consistent with the market's 93.8% implied probability of no event. Small meteoroids continue to produce fireballs, but their energies remain orders of magnitude lower. The primary uncertainty lies in undiscovered sub-50-meter objects or long-period comets that could evade detection until late, though historical impact rates and current survey completeness make such surprises improbable before year-end.