**No known near-Earth objects large enough to deliver a 5 kt or greater airburst are on collision trajectories for 2026, according to ongoing NASA CNEOS and ESA monitoring.** Catalogued NEOs show zero significant impact probability this year, while recent fireball detections—including events in Q1 2026—have remained below the 5 kt energy threshold despite elevated witness reports that largely reflect improved detection networks rather than increased hazard. A 5 kt event corresponds to an object several meters across releasing energy comparable to a small nuclear detonation, typically producing a bright bolide that may or may not reach the surface. Historical data indicate such airbursts occur on roughly annual to decadal timescales, with frequency estimates refined by U.S. government sensor records showing multiple ~1–20 m impacts per year but only a subset reaching or exceeding 5 kt. With roughly half of 2026 elapsed and no qualifying event recorded to date, the absence of predicted impactors and the statistical baseline continue to anchor trader consensus toward “No.” Upcoming model updates and continued bolide surveillance through year-end could still surface previously undetected small objects, yet current orbital data and monitoring consensus keep implied odds tilted strongly against a qualifying strike.