Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% for 2026 VMA Video of the Year, driven by her record five prior wins in the category, self-directed visual from the blockbuster *Life of a Showgirl* era, and sustained cultural momentum. Nominations announced in mid-August positioned her alongside Madonna’s ambitious 14-minute *Confessions II – The Film* (23%), plus entries from Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION featuring Yung Lean. Recent Spotify placement of Swift’s full video catalog has amplified visibility just days before the Sept. 27 ceremony, while fan voting closes Sept. 25. Traders weigh Swift’s historical dominance and broad streaming metrics against Madonna’s long-form innovation and the competitive field’s strong chart performances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー
2026年VMAビデオオブザイヤー
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト） 66%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ） 25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ） 1%
I Just Might（ブルーノ・マーズ） 1%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
66%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ）
25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
7%
I Just Might（ブルーノ・マーズ）
7%
Storm（Gener8ion feat. Yung Lean）
7%
Tears（サブリナ・カーペンター）
7%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト） 66%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ） 25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ） 1%
I Just Might（ブルーノ・マーズ） 1%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
$135 Vol.
66%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ）
$65 Vol.
25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
$30 Vol.
7%
I Just Might（ブルーノ・マーズ）
$39 Vol.
7%
Storm（Gener8ion feat. Yung Lean）
$2 Vol.
7%
Tears（サブリナ・カーペンター）
$14 Vol.
7%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% for 2026 VMA Video of the Year, driven by her record five prior wins in the category, self-directed visual from the blockbuster *Life of a Showgirl* era, and sustained cultural momentum. Nominations announced in mid-August positioned her alongside Madonna’s ambitious 14-minute *Confessions II – The Film* (23%), plus entries from Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION featuring Yung Lean. Recent Spotify placement of Swift’s full video catalog has amplified visibility just days before the Sept. 27 ceremony, while fan voting closes Sept. 25. Traders weigh Swift’s historical dominance and broad streaming metrics against Madonna’s long-form innovation and the competitive field’s strong chart performances.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
音量
$285終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% for 2026 VMA Video of the Year, driven by her record five prior wins in the category, self-directed visual from the blockbuster *Life of a Showgirl* era, and sustained cultural momentum. Nominations announced in mid-August positioned her alongside Madonna’s ambitious 14-minute *Confessions II – The Film* (23%), plus entries from Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION featuring Yung Lean. Recent Spotify placement of Swift’s full video catalog has amplified visibility just days before the Sept. 27 ceremony, while fan voting closes Sept. 25. Traders weigh Swift’s historical dominance and broad streaming metrics against Madonna’s long-form innovation and the competitive field’s strong chart performances.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$285終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% for 2026 VMA Video of the Year, driven by her record five prior wins in the category, self-directed visual from the blockbuster *Life of a Showgirl* era, and sustained cultural momentum. Nominations announced in mid-August positioned her alongside Madonna’s ambitious 14-minute *Confessions II – The Film* (23%), plus entries from Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and GENER8ION featuring Yung Lean. Recent Spotify placement of Swift’s full video catalog has amplified visibility just days before the Sept. 27 ceremony, while fan voting closes Sept. 25. Traders weigh Swift’s historical dominance and broad streaming metrics against Madonna’s long-form innovation and the competitive field’s strong chart performances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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