Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin race for the top US Netflix movie this week, with Beast at 49.5% implied probability edging Thrash at 46%, reflecting Beast's recent surge to No. 1 on daily charts after landing fresh on the platform, buoyed by Idris Elba's star power and its gripping survival thriller appeal in a post-theatrical revival. Thrash, a buzzy new shark-attack disaster flick starring Phoebe Dynevor and Djimon Hounsou, premieres tomorrow (April 10), positioning it to potentially dominate weekend streaming metrics amid genre hunger seen in recent hits like Anaconda's climb. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle holds strong at 36% as an evergreen family adventure, but lacks fresh release momentum; watch for Thrash's launch views and holdover competition to tip the scales before Netflix's weekly top 10 locks.