Recent political developments are shaping expectations for Elon Musk's X activity during the August 3-9 window. Musk has revived his America PAC with plans for over $100 million in spending to boost Republican turnout in the 2026 midterms, following earlier tensions with former allies. Overlapping Tesla regulatory scrutiny—including a probe into suspension issues on 1.2 million vehicles—and xAI developments, such as lawsuits over AI content rules and Grok features like image generation, provide additional catalysts. Traders note his pattern of frequent commentary on politics, autonomous driving, and large language model capabilities, with recent posts highlighting cultural and coding topics. Key upcoming factors include potential earnings-related signals or AI benchmark discussions that could shift posting volume and themes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/09
President
22%
Trump
23%
Sam / Altman
45%
Tweak
16%
Deport / Deported
51%
Tesla
91%
Neuralink
50%
Video game / Videogame
56%
Iran / Iranian
10%
IPO
50%
ChatGPT
14%
Texas
75%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
24%
$62 Vol.
President
$0 Vol.
22%
Trump
$0 Vol.
23%
Sam / Altman
$0 Vol.
45%
Tweak
$0 Vol.
16%
Deport / Deported
$0 Vol.
51%
Tesla
$31 Vol.
91%
Neuralink
$0 Vol.
50%
Video game / Videogame
$0 Vol.
56%
Iran / Iranian
$0 Vol.
10%
IPO
$0 Vol.
50%
ChatGPT
$0 Vol.
14%
Texas
$31 Vol.
75%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Recent political developments are shaping expectations for Elon Musk's X activity during the August 3-9 window. Musk has revived his America PAC with plans for over $100 million in spending to boost Republican turnout in the 2026 midterms, following earlier tensions with former allies. Overlapping Tesla regulatory scrutiny—including a probe into suspension issues on 1.2 million vehicles—and xAI developments, such as lawsuits over AI content rules and Grok features like image generation, provide additional catalysts. Traders note his pattern of frequent commentary on politics, autonomous driving, and large language model capabilities, with recent posts highlighting cultural and coding topics. Key upcoming factors include potential earnings-related signals or AI benchmark discussions that could shift posting volume and themes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
音量
$62終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Recent political developments are shaping expectations for Elon Musk's X activity during the August 3-9 window. Musk has revived his America PAC with plans for over $100 million in spending to boost Republican turnout in the 2026 midterms, following earlier tensions with former allies. Overlapping Tesla regulatory scrutiny—including a probe into suspension issues on 1.2 million vehicles—and xAI developments, such as lawsuits over AI content rules and Grok features like image generation, provide additional catalysts. Traders note his pattern of frequent commentary on politics, autonomous driving, and large language model capabilities, with recent posts highlighting cultural and coding topics. Key upcoming factors include potential earnings-related signals or AI benchmark discussions that could shift posting volume and themes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
音量
$62終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent political developments are shaping expectations for Elon Musk's X activity during the August 3-9 window. Musk has revived his America PAC with plans for over $100 million in spending to boost Republican turnout in the 2026 midterms, following earlier tensions with former allies. Overlapping Tesla regulatory scrutiny—including a probe into suspension issues on 1.2 million vehicles—and xAI developments, such as lawsuits over AI content rules and Grok features like image generation, provide additional catalysts. Traders note his pattern of frequent commentary on politics, autonomous driving, and large language model capabilities, with recent posts highlighting cultural and coding topics. Key upcoming factors include potential earnings-related signals or AI benchmark discussions that could shift posting volume and themes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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