Trader consensus for Keir Starmer's statements at the next Prime Minister's Questions on November 13 hinges on fallout from Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 budget, which raised employer National Insurance contributions and sparked widespread criticism over tax hikes and spending cuts like winter fuel payments. Opposition leader Kemi Badenoch pressed Starmer on economic impacts during the November 6 session, where he defended fiscal repairs amid £22 billion shortfall claims. Labour backbench dissent over the upcoming welfare bill vote adds pressure, with rebels signaling potential rebellion. Markets price phrases tied to budget justification, growth pledges, or opposition rebuttals, reflecting uncertainty ahead of parliamentary recess and key fiscal events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Mr Speaker 20+ times
82%
Mr Speaker 10+ times
91%
Iran 3+ times
88%
Ireland
46%
Scotland
13%
Police
88%
Abuse
30%
Reform
78%
Tory
51%
Epstein
25%
Trump
28%
$1,421 Vol.
Mr Speaker 20+ times
82%
Mr Speaker 10+ times
91%
Iran 3+ times
88%
Ireland
46%
Scotland
13%
Police
88%
Abuse
30%
Reform
78%
Tory
51%
Epstein
25%
Trump
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Keir Starmer's statements at the next Prime Minister's Questions on November 13 hinges on fallout from Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October 30 budget, which raised employer National Insurance contributions and sparked widespread criticism over tax hikes and spending cuts like winter fuel payments. Opposition leader Kemi Badenoch pressed Starmer on economic impacts during the November 6 session, where he defended fiscal repairs amid £22 billion shortfall claims. Labour backbench dissent over the upcoming welfare bill vote adds pressure, with rebels signaling potential rebellion. Markets price phrases tied to budget justification, growth pledges, or opposition rebuttals, reflecting uncertainty ahead of parliamentary recess and key fiscal events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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