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Will Drake release a surprise album?

icon for Will Drake release a surprise album?

Will Drake release a surprise album?

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$3,421 Vol.

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$3,421 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album excluding ICEMAN between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any project confirmed to be the ICEMAN project will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution, regardless of potential name changes. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Trader consensus on Polymarket has surged to an 84.4% implied probability for Drake releasing a surprise album, fueled by his cryptic "Iceman" rollout that culminated in today's May 15 drop—his ninth studio project and first solo effort since 2023's For All the Dogs. A massive 25-foot ice sculpture in Toronto, cracked open by streamer Kishka on April 21 to reveal the exact date, sparked viral buzz, while producer Gordo teased "completely unheard of" innovations and rumors swirled of three albums totaling 43 tracks with guests like Future, 21 Savage, Central Cee, Sexyy Red, PartyNextDoor, and Popcaan. This skin-in-the-game frenzy reflects Drake's post-Kendrick beef momentum and history of explosive, last-minute drops, with streaming metrics and Billboard chart debuts as key resolution catalysts amid high uncertainty in rap release strategies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album excluding ICEMAN between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any project confirmed to be the ICEMAN project will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution, regardless of potential name changes.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$3,421
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album excluding ICEMAN between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any project confirmed to be the ICEMAN project will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution, regardless of potential name changes. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album excluding ICEMAN between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any project confirmed to be the ICEMAN project will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution, regardless of potential name changes. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Trader consensus on Polymarket has surged to an 84.4% implied probability for Drake releasing a surprise album, fueled by his cryptic "Iceman" rollout that culminated in today's May 15 drop—his ninth studio project and first solo effort since 2023's For All the Dogs. A massive 25-foot ice sculpture in Toronto, cracked open by streamer Kishka on April 21 to reveal the exact date, sparked viral buzz, while producer Gordo teased "completely unheard of" innovations and rumors swirled of three albums totaling 43 tracks with guests like Future, 21 Savage, Central Cee, Sexyy Red, PartyNextDoor, and Popcaan. This skin-in-the-game frenzy reflects Drake's post-Kendrick beef momentum and history of explosive, last-minute drops, with streaming metrics and Billboard chart debuts as key resolution catalysts amid high uncertainty in rap release strategies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album excluding ICEMAN between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any project confirmed to be the ICEMAN project will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution, regardless of potential name changes.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$3,421
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album excluding ICEMAN between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any project confirmed to be the ICEMAN project will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution, regardless of potential name changes. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Drake release a surprise album?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Drake release a surprise album?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Will Drake release a surprise album?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will Drake release a surprise album?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Will Drake release a surprise album?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。