Lamine Yamal’s new Barcelona contract until 2031, signed in May 2025 with a €1 billion release clause, anchors the 50% implied probability on departure before 2028. The 19-year-old right winger has established himself as a La Liga standout, delivering 24 goals and 17 assists in 2025-26 while earning captaincy duties and the number 10 shirt for 2026-27. Barcelona’s domestic success and Yamal’s public statements of loyalty further support retention, yet his elite market value above €200 million and agent Jorge Mendes create scope for transformative offers. Minor fitness setbacks and the club’s historical financial pressures introduce variables that could shift trader consensus over the next 18 months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日50% 確率
新規
新規
2027/12/31
50% 確率
新規
新規
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.
A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.
An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.
If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lamine Yamal’s new Barcelona contract until 2031, signed in May 2025 with a €1 billion release clause, anchors the 50% implied probability on departure before 2028. The 19-year-old right winger has established himself as a La Liga standout, delivering 24 goals and 17 assists in 2025-26 while earning captaincy duties and the number 10 shirt for 2026-27. Barcelona’s domestic success and Yamal’s public statements of loyalty further support retention, yet his elite market value above €200 million and agent Jorge Mendes create scope for transformative offers. Minor fitness setbacks and the club’s historical financial pressures introduce variables that could shift trader consensus over the next 18 months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.
A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.
An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.
If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.
A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.
An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.
If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.
A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.
An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.
If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lamine Yamal’s new Barcelona contract until 2031, signed in May 2025 with a €1 billion release clause, anchors the 50% implied probability on departure before 2028. The 19-year-old right winger has established himself as a La Liga standout, delivering 24 goals and 17 assists in 2025-26 while earning captaincy duties and the number 10 shirt for 2026-27. Barcelona’s domestic success and Yamal’s public statements of loyalty further support retention, yet his elite market value above €200 million and agent Jorge Mendes create scope for transformative offers. Minor fitness setbacks and the club’s historical financial pressures introduce variables that could shift trader consensus over the next 18 months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.
A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.
An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.
If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.
A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.
An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.
If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Lamine Yamal’s new Barcelona contract until 2031, signed in May 2025 with a €1 billion release clause, anchors the 50% implied probability on departure before 2028. The 19-year-old right winger has established himself as a La Liga standout, delivering 24 goals and 17 assists in 2025-26 while earning captaincy duties and the number 10 shirt for 2026-27. Barcelona’s domestic success and Yamal’s public statements of loyalty further support retention, yet his elite market value above €200 million and agent Jorge Mendes create scope for transformative offers. Minor fitness setbacks and the club’s historical financial pressures introduce variables that could shift trader consensus over the next 18 months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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