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Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?

icon for Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?

Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?

2% 確率
Polymarket
新規
2% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Roger Federer’s retirement from professional tennis in September 2022 after the Laver Cup remains the dominant factor behind the near-certain trader consensus that he will not appear at Wimbledon. The 20-time Grand Slam champion has not competed on the ATP Tour since 2021 and has repeatedly cited chronic knee issues that ended his career. At age 44 in 2026, with no official comeback announcements or practice footage from credible sources, the implied probability of 97.9% for “No” reflects the absence of any pathway back to competitive play. The only remotely plausible scenarios that could shift odds would involve an unprecedented late return announcement and successful medical clearance, both viewed as highly improbable given his long-term physical limitations and stated intentions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,315
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Roger Federer’s retirement from professional tennis in September 2022 after the Laver Cup remains the dominant factor behind the near-certain trader consensus that he will not appear at Wimbledon. The 20-time Grand Slam champion has not competed on the ATP Tour since 2021 and has repeatedly cited chronic knee issues that ended his career. At age 44 in 2026, with no official comeback announcements or practice footage from credible sources, the implied probability of 97.9% for “No” reflects the absence of any pathway back to competitive play. The only remotely plausible scenarios that could shift odds would involve an unprecedented late return announcement and successful medical clearance, both viewed as highly improbable given his long-term physical limitations and stated intentions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,315
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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「Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して2%です。例えば、「はい」が2¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を2%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して2%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を2%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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