Roger Federer’s retirement from professional tennis in September 2022 after the Laver Cup remains the dominant factor behind the near-certain trader consensus that he will not appear at Wimbledon. The 20-time Grand Slam champion has not competed on the ATP Tour since 2021 and has repeatedly cited chronic knee issues that ended his career. At age 44 in 2026, with no official comeback announcements or practice footage from credible sources, the implied probability of 97.9% for “No” reflects the absence of any pathway back to competitive play. The only remotely plausible scenarios that could shift odds would involve an unprecedented late return announcement and successful medical clearance, both viewed as highly improbable given his long-term physical limitations and stated intentions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Roger Federer’s retirement from professional tennis in September 2022 after the Laver Cup remains the dominant factor behind the near-certain trader consensus that he will not appear at Wimbledon. The 20-time Grand Slam champion has not competed on the ATP Tour since 2021 and has repeatedly cited chronic knee issues that ended his career. At age 44 in 2026, with no official comeback announcements or practice footage from credible sources, the implied probability of 97.9% for “No” reflects the absence of any pathway back to competitive play. The only remotely plausible scenarios that could shift odds would involve an unprecedented late return announcement and successful medical clearance, both viewed as highly improbable given his long-term physical limitations and stated intentions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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