**The 91% trader consensus against a corporate tax rate cut below 21% before 2027 stems primarily from the July 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.** That legislation permanently extended multiple TCJA business provisions, restored immediate expensing for R&D and structures, and delivered other corporate relief measures, yet left the statutory rate unchanged at 21%. With roughly four months remaining in the resolution window and no active congressional effort underway for standalone rate legislation, attention has turned to tariff policy, implementation, and other priorities. Historical patterns of tax reform timing and the scale of the 2025 package further support the view that additional headline rate action is unlikely before December 31, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
12% 確率
$16,952 Vol.
$16,952 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
12% 確率
$16,952 Vol.
$16,952 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.**The 91% trader consensus against a corporate tax rate cut below 21% before 2027 stems primarily from the July 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.** That legislation permanently extended multiple TCJA business provisions, restored immediate expensing for R&D and structures, and delivered other corporate relief measures, yet left the statutory rate unchanged at 21%. With roughly four months remaining in the resolution window and no active congressional effort underway for standalone rate legislation, attention has turned to tariff policy, implementation, and other priorities. Historical patterns of tax reform timing and the scale of the 2025 package further support the view that additional headline rate action is unlikely before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
音量
$16,952終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.**The 91% trader consensus against a corporate tax rate cut below 21% before 2027 stems primarily from the July 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.** That legislation permanently extended multiple TCJA business provisions, restored immediate expensing for R&D and structures, and delivered other corporate relief measures, yet left the statutory rate unchanged at 21%. With roughly four months remaining in the resolution window and no active congressional effort underway for standalone rate legislation, attention has turned to tariff policy, implementation, and other priorities. Historical patterns of tax reform timing and the scale of the 2025 package further support the view that additional headline rate action is unlikely before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070be91...**The 91% trader consensus against a corporate tax rate cut below 21% before 2027 stems primarily from the July 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.** That legislation permanently extended multiple TCJA business provisions, restored immediate expensing for R&D and structures, and delivered other corporate relief measures, yet left the statutory rate unchanged at 21%. With roughly four months remaining in the resolution window and no active congressional effort underway for standalone rate legislation, attention has turned to tariff policy, implementation, and other priorities. Historical patterns of tax reform timing and the scale of the 2025 package further support the view that additional headline rate action is unlikely before December 31, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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