**President Trump's recent statements hinting at a potential visit to Islamabad to finalize a US-Iran peace deal, following inconclusive talks hosted by Pakistan last week, have fueled speculation amid ongoing diplomatic efforts for a second round.** Vice President JD Vance led the prior negotiations, which stalled over terms like Strait of Hormuz access, yet no agreement emerged, tempering optimism. Traders' 68% implied probability on "No" reflects the conditional nature of Trump's remarks, lack of any scheduled foreign trips to Pakistan through public calendars—including a confirmed China summit May 14–15—and barriers such as Pakistan's Level 3 travel advisory, historical non-visits, and competing priorities in the Iran conflict. A breakthrough deal could shift odds, but uncertainty persists ahead of May 31 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/05/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/05/31
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**President Trump's recent statements hinting at a potential visit to Islamabad to finalize a US-Iran peace deal, following inconclusive talks hosted by Pakistan last week, have fueled speculation amid ongoing diplomatic efforts for a second round.** Vice President JD Vance led the prior negotiations, which stalled over terms like Strait of Hormuz access, yet no agreement emerged, tempering optimism. Traders' 68% implied probability on "No" reflects the conditional nature of Trump's remarks, lack of any scheduled foreign trips to Pakistan through public calendars—including a confirmed China summit May 14–15—and barriers such as Pakistan's Level 3 travel advisory, historical non-visits, and competing priorities in the Iran conflict. A breakthrough deal could shift odds, but uncertainty persists ahead of May 31 resolution.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
音量
$8,302終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**President Trump's recent statements hinting at a potential visit to Islamabad to finalize a US-Iran peace deal, following inconclusive talks hosted by Pakistan last week, have fueled speculation amid ongoing diplomatic efforts for a second round.** Vice President JD Vance led the prior negotiations, which stalled over terms like Strait of Hormuz access, yet no agreement emerged, tempering optimism. Traders' 68% implied probability on "No" reflects the conditional nature of Trump's remarks, lack of any scheduled foreign trips to Pakistan through public calendars—including a confirmed China summit May 14–15—and barriers such as Pakistan's Level 3 travel advisory, historical non-visits, and competing priorities in the Iran conflict. A breakthrough deal could shift odds, but uncertainty persists ahead of May 31 resolution.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$8,302終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Trump's recent statements hinting at a potential visit to Islamabad to finalize a US-Iran peace deal, following inconclusive talks hosted by Pakistan last week, have fueled speculation amid ongoing diplomatic efforts for a second round.** Vice President JD Vance led the prior negotiations, which stalled over terms like Strait of Hormuz access, yet no agreement emerged, tempering optimism. Traders' 68% implied probability on "No" reflects the conditional nature of Trump's remarks, lack of any scheduled foreign trips to Pakistan through public calendars—including a confirmed China summit May 14–15—and barriers such as Pakistan's Level 3 travel advisory, historical non-visits, and competing priorities in the Iran conflict. A breakthrough deal could shift odds, but uncertainty persists ahead of May 31 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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