UAE participation in GCC summits, joint defense coordination, and economic initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa have reinforced institutional ties through September 2026, despite strains from the UAE’s April OPEC and OPEC+ exit and public criticism of collective security responses during Iranian strikes. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, and regional influence persist, yet no official statements, diplomatic moves, or procedural steps signal an intent to withdraw. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 94% implied probability because membership continues to deliver tangible benefits in trade facilitation, security dialogue, and regional stability mechanisms, outweighing episodic divergences within the current resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$100,938 Vol.
$100,938 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
6% 確率
$100,938 Vol.
$100,938 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE participation in GCC summits, joint defense coordination, and economic initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa have reinforced institutional ties through September 2026, despite strains from the UAE’s April OPEC and OPEC+ exit and public criticism of collective security responses during Iranian strikes. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, and regional influence persist, yet no official statements, diplomatic moves, or procedural steps signal an intent to withdraw. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 94% implied probability because membership continues to deliver tangible benefits in trade facilitation, security dialogue, and regional stability mechanisms, outweighing episodic divergences within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
音量
$100,938終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE participation in GCC summits, joint defense coordination, and economic initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa have reinforced institutional ties through September 2026, despite strains from the UAE’s April OPEC and OPEC+ exit and public criticism of collective security responses during Iranian strikes. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, and regional influence persist, yet no official statements, diplomatic moves, or procedural steps signal an intent to withdraw. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 94% implied probability because membership continues to deliver tangible benefits in trade facilitation, security dialogue, and regional stability mechanisms, outweighing episodic divergences within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$100,938終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...UAE participation in GCC summits, joint defense coordination, and economic initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa have reinforced institutional ties through September 2026, despite strains from the UAE’s April OPEC and OPEC+ exit and public criticism of collective security responses during Iranian strikes. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, and regional influence persist, yet no official statements, diplomatic moves, or procedural steps signal an intent to withdraw. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 94% implied probability because membership continues to deliver tangible benefits in trade facilitation, security dialogue, and regional stability mechanisms, outweighing episodic divergences within the current resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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