OPEC and its OPEC+ partners continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments as of September 2026, including the recent decision to hold October output steady while preparing 2027 baselines. Core members such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintain the group's operational framework despite the UAE's May departure and isolated quota disputes, consistent with the organization's historical adaptation to member exits like Angola's in 2023. Trader consensus against dissolution reflects this sustained institutional activity and lack of coordinated withdrawal momentum. Potential shifts could arise from additional departures or major geopolitical escalations disrupting remaining coordination, though structural barriers and ongoing market management make full dissolution by year-end improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
3% 確率
$36,499 Vol.
$36,499 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
3% 確率
$36,499 Vol.
$36,499 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC and its OPEC+ partners continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments as of September 2026, including the recent decision to hold October output steady while preparing 2027 baselines. Core members such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintain the group's operational framework despite the UAE's May departure and isolated quota disputes, consistent with the organization's historical adaptation to member exits like Angola's in 2023. Trader consensus against dissolution reflects this sustained institutional activity and lack of coordinated withdrawal momentum. Potential shifts could arise from additional departures or major geopolitical escalations disrupting remaining coordination, though structural barriers and ongoing market management make full dissolution by year-end improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
音量
$36,499終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC and its OPEC+ partners continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments as of September 2026, including the recent decision to hold October output steady while preparing 2027 baselines. Core members such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintain the group's operational framework despite the UAE's May departure and isolated quota disputes, consistent with the organization's historical adaptation to member exits like Angola's in 2023. Trader consensus against dissolution reflects this sustained institutional activity and lack of coordinated withdrawal momentum. Potential shifts could arise from additional departures or major geopolitical escalations disrupting remaining coordination, though structural barriers and ongoing market management make full dissolution by year-end improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$36,499終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OPEC and its OPEC+ partners continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments as of September 2026, including the recent decision to hold October output steady while preparing 2027 baselines. Core members such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintain the group's operational framework despite the UAE's May departure and isolated quota disputes, consistent with the organization's historical adaptation to member exits like Angola's in 2023. Trader consensus against dissolution reflects this sustained institutional activity and lack of coordinated withdrawal momentum. Potential shifts could arise from additional departures or major geopolitical escalations disrupting remaining coordination, though structural barriers and ongoing market management make full dissolution by year-end improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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