Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY sentiment, with the pair trading near 159.3 in mid-August 2026 after retracing roughly half its post-intervention gains. Persistent U.S. yield advantages, even amid measured Fed easing expectations under Chair Kevin Warsh, contrast with the BOJ’s gradual normalization and potential September or October rate hike amid sticky Japanese inflation. Recent joint intervention provided only temporary yen support, highlighting fiscal risks and import costs that continue to pressure the currency. Analyst year-end 2026 forecasts span 150–164, reflecting uncertainty over whether BOJ tightening will sufficiently compress the rate differential. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming BOJ and FOMC decisions, U.S. inflation prints, and any renewed intervention signals that could shift implied probabilities around key thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$47,131 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑200
4%
↑190
5%
↑180
7%
↑175
17%
↑170
23%
↑165
41%
↓150
39%
↓140
26%
↓130
5%
↓120
3%
↓110
8%
$47,131 Vol.
↑200
$719 Vol.
4%
↑190
$71 Vol.
5%
↑180
$900 Vol.
7%
↑175
$2,664 Vol.
17%
↑170
$6,289 Vol.
23%
↑165
$9,537 Vol.
41%
↓150
$4,595 Vol.
39%
↓140
$2,598 Vol.
26%
↓130
$1,430 Vol.
5%
↓120
$9,103 Vol.
3%
↓110
$909 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY sentiment, with the pair trading near 159.3 in mid-August 2026 after retracing roughly half its post-intervention gains. Persistent U.S. yield advantages, even amid measured Fed easing expectations under Chair Kevin Warsh, contrast with the BOJ’s gradual normalization and potential September or October rate hike amid sticky Japanese inflation. Recent joint intervention provided only temporary yen support, highlighting fiscal risks and import costs that continue to pressure the currency. Analyst year-end 2026 forecasts span 150–164, reflecting uncertainty over whether BOJ tightening will sufficiently compress the rate differential. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming BOJ and FOMC decisions, U.S. inflation prints, and any renewed intervention signals that could shift implied probabilities around key thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
音量
$47,131終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY sentiment, with the pair trading near 159.3 in mid-August 2026 after retracing roughly half its post-intervention gains. Persistent U.S. yield advantages, even amid measured Fed easing expectations under Chair Kevin Warsh, contrast with the BOJ’s gradual normalization and potential September or October rate hike amid sticky Japanese inflation. Recent joint intervention provided only temporary yen support, highlighting fiscal risks and import costs that continue to pressure the currency. Analyst year-end 2026 forecasts span 150–164, reflecting uncertainty over whether BOJ tightening will sufficiently compress the rate differential. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming BOJ and FOMC decisions, U.S. inflation prints, and any renewed intervention signals that could shift implied probabilities around key thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
音量
$47,131終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY sentiment, with the pair trading near 159.3 in mid-August 2026 after retracing roughly half its post-intervention gains. Persistent U.S. yield advantages, even amid measured Fed easing expectations under Chair Kevin Warsh, contrast with the BOJ’s gradual normalization and potential September or October rate hike amid sticky Japanese inflation. Recent joint intervention provided only temporary yen support, highlighting fiscal risks and import costs that continue to pressure the currency. Analyst year-end 2026 forecasts span 150–164, reflecting uncertainty over whether BOJ tightening will sufficiently compress the rate differential. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming BOJ and FOMC decisions, U.S. inflation prints, and any renewed intervention signals that could shift implied probabilities around key thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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