Entering the final stages of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open round-robin in Pegeia, Cyprus, Hikaru Nakamura and Matthias Bluebaum sit tied at 5.5/12 points, mirroring their trader consensus with probabilities clustered tightly around 49.5% across win, loss, and draw outcomes. Round 12 produced all draws—including Nakamura's stalemate against leader Javokhir Sindarov (9/12) and Bluebaum holding Fabiano Caruana—preserving the mid-pack logjam and heightening Round 13 stakes with just two rounds left. Their prior Round 7 clash also ended drawn, underscoring Bluebaum's resilience against top-rated foes despite Nakamura's 2810 ELO edge, while Nakamura's winless streak through the middle rounds tempers expectations in this classical format prone to high draw rates among elites.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 14, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 14, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 14, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Entering the final stages of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open round-robin in Pegeia, Cyprus, Hikaru Nakamura and Matthias Bluebaum sit tied at 5.5/12 points, mirroring their trader consensus with probabilities clustered tightly around 49.5% across win, loss, and draw outcomes. Round 12 produced all draws—including Nakamura's stalemate against leader Javokhir Sindarov (9/12) and Bluebaum holding Fabiano Caruana—preserving the mid-pack logjam and heightening Round 13 stakes with just two rounds left. Their prior Round 7 clash also ended drawn, underscoring Bluebaum's resilience against top-rated foes despite Nakamura's 2810 ELO edge, while Nakamura's winless streak through the middle rounds tempers expectations in this classical format prone to high draw rates among elites.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 14, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/21マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 10:01 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 14, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 14, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 14, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Entering the final stages of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open round-robin in Pegeia, Cyprus, Hikaru Nakamura and Matthias Bluebaum sit tied at 5.5/12 points, mirroring their trader consensus with probabilities clustered tightly around 49.5% across win, loss, and draw outcomes. Round 12 produced all draws—including Nakamura's stalemate against leader Javokhir Sindarov (9/12) and Bluebaum holding Fabiano Caruana—preserving the mid-pack logjam and heightening Round 13 stakes with just two rounds left. Their prior Round 7 clash also ended drawn, underscoring Bluebaum's resilience against top-rated foes despite Nakamura's 2810 ELO edge, while Nakamura's winless streak through the middle rounds tempers expectations in this classical format prone to high draw rates among elites.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 14, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/21マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 10:01 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Entering the final stages of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open round-robin in Pegeia, Cyprus, Hikaru Nakamura and Matthias Bluebaum sit tied at 5.5/12 points, mirroring their trader consensus with probabilities clustered tightly around 49.5% across win, loss, and draw outcomes. Round 12 produced all draws—including Nakamura's stalemate against leader Javokhir Sindarov (9/12) and Bluebaum holding Fabiano Caruana—preserving the mid-pack logjam and heightening Round 13 stakes with just two rounds left. Their prior Round 7 clash also ended drawn, underscoring Bluebaum's resilience against top-rated foes despite Nakamura's 2810 ELO edge, while Nakamura's winless streak through the middle rounds tempers expectations in this classical format prone to high draw rates among elites.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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