Mercedes' W17 has dominated the early 2026 F1 season under new regulations, securing 1-2 finishes in Australia—where George Russell took victory—and China, followed by Kimi Antonelli's back-to-back wins in China (youngest-ever GP polesitter) and Japan, propelling the rookie to championship lead with 72 points to Russell's 63. This Mercedes constructors' stronghold has trader consensus heavily favoring their duo at 43.5% and 30.4% implied probabilities, reflecting the car's superior race pace, qualifying edge, and reliability amid rivals' struggles, like Red Bull's uncompetitive start. Russell's experience and consistency edge him ahead despite Antonelli's momentum, with Leclerc third at 6.7% on Ferrari's distant pursuit. Recent intra-team tension, highlighted by Martin Brundle's warning to treat Antonelli like "peak Hamilton," underscores the title fight's intensity heading into the break.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트조지 러셀 44%
키미 안토넬리 30.4%
샤를 르클레르 6.7%
오스카 피아스트리 4.6%
$104,626,953 거래량
$104,626,953 거래량
조지 러셀
44%
키미 안토넬리
30%
샤를 르클레르
7%
오스카 피아스트리
5%
루이스 해밀턴
3%
랜도 노리스
3%
막스 페르스타펀
2%
페르난도 알론소
1%
니코 휠켄베르크
1%
올리버 베어맨
1%
에스테반 오콘
<1%
피에르 가슬리
<1%
리암 로슨
<1%
아르비드 린드블라드
<1%
카를로스 사인츠 주니어
<1%
세르히오 페레즈
<1%
이삭 하드자르
<1%
랜스 스트롤
<1%
가브리엘 보르톨레토
<1%
프랑코 콜라핀토
<1%
알렉산더 알본
<1%
발테리 보타스
<1%
조지 러셀 44%
키미 안토넬리 30.4%
샤를 르클레르 6.7%
오스카 피아스트리 4.6%
$104,626,953 거래량
$104,626,953 거래량
조지 러셀
44%
키미 안토넬리
30%
샤를 르클레르
7%
오스카 피아스트리
5%
루이스 해밀턴
3%
랜도 노리스
3%
막스 페르스타펀
2%
페르난도 알론소
1%
니코 휠켄베르크
1%
올리버 베어맨
1%
에스테반 오콘
<1%
피에르 가슬리
<1%
리암 로슨
<1%
아르비드 린드블라드
<1%
카를로스 사인츠 주니어
<1%
세르히오 페레즈
<1%
이삭 하드자르
<1%
랜스 스트롤
<1%
가브리엘 보르톨레토
<1%
프랑코 콜라핀토
<1%
알렉산더 알본
<1%
발테리 보타스
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
마켓 개설일: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' W17 has dominated the early 2026 F1 season under new regulations, securing 1-2 finishes in Australia—where George Russell took victory—and China, followed by Kimi Antonelli's back-to-back wins in China (youngest-ever GP polesitter) and Japan, propelling the rookie to championship lead with 72 points to Russell's 63. This Mercedes constructors' stronghold has trader consensus heavily favoring their duo at 43.5% and 30.4% implied probabilities, reflecting the car's superior race pace, qualifying edge, and reliability amid rivals' struggles, like Red Bull's uncompetitive start. Russell's experience and consistency edge him ahead despite Antonelli's momentum, with Leclerc third at 6.7% on Ferrari's distant pursuit. Recent intra-team tension, highlighted by Martin Brundle's warning to treat Antonelli like "peak Hamilton," underscores the title fight's intensity heading into the break.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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