Tom Kim leads the U.S. Open winner market at 41.5% implied probability following his strong showing in final qualifying at Dallas Athletic Club, where he secured his fifth career appearance at the event just days before the June 18–21 start at Shinnecock Hills. Traders appear to be weighting his recent form surge, including a T-6 at the Myrtle Beach Classic and consistent ball-striking suited to the demanding, windswept links-style layout. Scottie Scheffler sits second at 11.5% on the strength of his world ranking and major pedigree, while Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Cameron Young trail further back amid the deep, 156-player field. The closely bunched probabilities behind the top names reflect the U.S. Open’s inherent volatility, where course setup, weather, and putting on firm greens can elevate underdogs or derail favorites regardless of recent rankings or head-to-head history.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Johnny Keefer 46.2%
Benjamin James 45.6%
Jon Rahm 34%
Tommy Fleetwood 32.6%
Johnny Keefer
46%
Benjamin James
46%
Jon Rahm
34%
Tommy Fleetwood
33%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
32%
Collin Morikawa
31%
Sam Burns
31%
Justin Thomas
31%
Hideki Matsuyama
31%
Jordan Spieth
31%
Shane Lowry
31%
Joaquin Niemann
31%
Keegan Bradley
31%
Jackson Koivun
31%
David Puig
31%
Ryan Fox
31%
Jake Knapp
31%
Daniel Berger
31%
Davis Thompson
31%
Jayden Schaper
31%
Ryo Hisatsune
31%
Max Greyserman
31%
Jackson Suber
31%
Brooks Koepka
31%
Tyrrell Hatton
31%
Bud Cauley
31%
Akshay Bhatia
31%
Rickie Fowler
31%
Dustin Johnson
31%
Jacob Bridgeman
31%
Russell Henley
31%
Viktor Hovland
31%
Kurt Kitayama
31%
Kristoffer Reitan
31%
Ryan Gerard
31%
Adam Scott
31%
JT Poston
31%
Jason Day
31%
Corey Conners
31%
Brian Harman
31%
Nick Taylor
31%
Sahith Theegala
31%
Lucas Herbert
31%
Pierceson Coody
31%
Matt McCarty
31%
Michael Brennan
31%
Billy Horschel
31%
Andrew Putnam
31%
Sepp Straka
30%
Sam Stevens
30%
Alex Smalley
30%
Sung-Jae Im
30%
Ben Kohles
30%
Tom Kim
18%
Scottie Scheffler
10%
Rory McIlroy
6%
Cameron Young
4%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Nathan Kimsey
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Carlos Ortiz
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
John Parry
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Cameron Smith
31%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
30%
Johnny Keefer 46.2%
Benjamin James 45.6%
Jon Rahm 34%
Tommy Fleetwood 32.6%
Johnny Keefer
46%
Benjamin James
46%
Jon Rahm
34%
Tommy Fleetwood
33%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
32%
Collin Morikawa
31%
Sam Burns
31%
Justin Thomas
31%
Hideki Matsuyama
31%
Jordan Spieth
31%
Shane Lowry
31%
Joaquin Niemann
31%
Keegan Bradley
31%
Jackson Koivun
31%
David Puig
31%
Ryan Fox
31%
Jake Knapp
31%
Daniel Berger
31%
Davis Thompson
31%
Jayden Schaper
31%
Ryo Hisatsune
31%
Max Greyserman
31%
Jackson Suber
31%
Brooks Koepka
31%
Tyrrell Hatton
31%
Bud Cauley
31%
Akshay Bhatia
31%
Rickie Fowler
31%
Dustin Johnson
31%
Jacob Bridgeman
31%
Russell Henley
31%
Viktor Hovland
31%
Kurt Kitayama
31%
Kristoffer Reitan
31%
Ryan Gerard
31%
Adam Scott
31%
JT Poston
31%
Jason Day
31%
Corey Conners
31%
Brian Harman
31%
Nick Taylor
31%
Sahith Theegala
31%
Lucas Herbert
31%
Pierceson Coody
31%
Matt McCarty
31%
Michael Brennan
31%
Billy Horschel
31%
Andrew Putnam
31%
Sepp Straka
30%
Sam Stevens
30%
Alex Smalley
30%
Sung-Jae Im
30%
Ben Kohles
30%
Tom Kim
18%
Scottie Scheffler
10%
Rory McIlroy
6%
Cameron Young
4%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Nathan Kimsey
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Carlos Ortiz
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
John Parry
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Cameron Smith
31%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
30%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tom Kim leads the U.S. Open winner market at 41.5% implied probability following his strong showing in final qualifying at Dallas Athletic Club, where he secured his fifth career appearance at the event just days before the June 18–21 start at Shinnecock Hills. Traders appear to be weighting his recent form surge, including a T-6 at the Myrtle Beach Classic and consistent ball-striking suited to the demanding, windswept links-style layout. Scottie Scheffler sits second at 11.5% on the strength of his world ranking and major pedigree, while Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Cameron Young trail further back amid the deep, 156-player field. The closely bunched probabilities behind the top names reflect the U.S. Open’s inherent volatility, where course setup, weather, and putting on firm greens can elevate underdogs or derail favorites regardless of recent rankings or head-to-head history.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문