Carlos Ulberg's shocking first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11 claimed the vacant light heavyweight title after Alex Pereira's move to heavyweight, yet trader consensus prices Magomed Ankalaev at 38.8% implied probability to hold the belt by year-end, edging the new champion (37%) and ex-champ Pereira (35%). This tight clustering reflects deep uncertainty around Ulberg's first title defense, likely against unbeaten top contender Ankalaev, whose grappling edge and prior title reign (lost via TKO to Pereira) fuel his favoritism despite no fights since. Pereira's potential LHW return looms large given his knockout power, while Bogdan Guskov's recent surge adds volatility in a division lacking a dominant force.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Carlos Ulberg 42%
Bogdan Guskov 30.3%
Dominick Reyes 11.2%
Jiří Procházka 5.6%
$17,096 거래량
$17,096 거래량
2026.12.31
Carlos Ulberg
39%
Bogdan Guskov
30%
Dominick Reyes
18%
Jiří Procházka
6%
Alex Pereira
10%
Azamat Murzakanov
4%
Khalil Rountree Jr.
1%
Volkan Oezdemir
1%
Jamahal Hill
6%
Jan Błachowicz
1%
Magomed Ankalaev
33%
Carlos Ulberg 42%
Bogdan Guskov 30.3%
Dominick Reyes 11.2%
Jiří Procházka 5.6%
$17,096 거래량
$17,096 거래량
2026.12.31
Carlos Ulberg
$2,212 거래량
39%
Bogdan Guskov
$177 거래량
30%
Dominick Reyes
$6,452 거래량
18%
Jiří Procházka
$2,570 거래량
6%
Alex Pereira
$3,442 거래량
10%
Azamat Murzakanov
$614 거래량
4%
Khalil Rountree Jr.
$423 거래량
1%
Volkan Oezdemir
$0 거래량
1%
Jamahal Hill
$457 거래량
6%
Jan Błachowicz
$300 거래량
1%
Magomed Ankalaev
$450 거래량
33%
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Carlos Ulberg's shocking first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11 claimed the vacant light heavyweight title after Alex Pereira's move to heavyweight, yet trader consensus prices Magomed Ankalaev at 38.8% implied probability to hold the belt by year-end, edging the new champion (37%) and ex-champ Pereira (35%). This tight clustering reflects deep uncertainty around Ulberg's first title defense, likely against unbeaten top contender Ankalaev, whose grappling edge and prior title reign (lost via TKO to Pereira) fuel his favoritism despite no fights since. Pereira's potential LHW return looms large given his knockout power, while Bogdan Guskov's recent surge adds volatility in a division lacking a dominant force.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
거래량
$17,096종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Carlos Ulberg's shocking first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11 claimed the vacant light heavyweight title after Alex Pereira's move to heavyweight, yet trader consensus prices Magomed Ankalaev at 38.8% implied probability to hold the belt by year-end, edging the new champion (37%) and ex-champ Pereira (35%). This tight clustering reflects deep uncertainty around Ulberg's first title defense, likely against unbeaten top contender Ankalaev, whose grappling edge and prior title reign (lost via TKO to Pereira) fuel his favoritism despite no fights since. Pereira's potential LHW return looms large given his knockout power, while Bogdan Guskov's recent surge adds volatility in a division lacking a dominant force.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
거래량
$17,096종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Ulberg's shocking first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11 claimed the vacant light heavyweight title after Alex Pereira's move to heavyweight, yet trader consensus prices Magomed Ankalaev at 38.8% implied probability to hold the belt by year-end, edging the new champion (37%) and ex-champ Pereira (35%). This tight clustering reflects deep uncertainty around Ulberg's first title defense, likely against unbeaten top contender Ankalaev, whose grappling edge and prior title reign (lost via TKO to Pereira) fuel his favoritism despite no fights since. Pereira's potential LHW return looms large given his knockout power, while Bogdan Guskov's recent surge adds volatility in a division lacking a dominant force.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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